TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,091 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff5d…7691backed Over50c21,950$10,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,97510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72f7…9bf0backed Under50c21,798$10,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,8991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf540…7b2ebacked Under50c20,100$10,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7c…901bbacked Over50c19,935$9,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,970.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c7,500$3,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,73550644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under49c7,306$3,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,693.512259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf617…80c9backed Under50c5,524$2,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,762875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over50c5,037$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under51c5,000$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4609256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under51c3,643$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,785.141154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c3,349$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.86,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Over50c2,880$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over53c2,852$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over49c2,551$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.9885048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c3…b054backed Over51c2,218$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.271250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over50c1,981$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.8220448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under51c1,569$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.631450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c1,467$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.062,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over50c1,300$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over51c1,275$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.462133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3127…ff44backed Over7c1,192$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.87771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under50c1,120$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.8928242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under50c1,004$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.922962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over49c990.93$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.72,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under50c988$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4945560%33 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over51c940$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.413565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over57c897.7$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.111,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c888.2$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.1952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca70…85debacked Over51c877.88$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.462263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed Over49c755.1$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3702729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-48.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over46c666.54$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.511430.7%35 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3254445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Under50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2911154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfff…cbddbacked Over50c572.9$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d5…157dbacked Under50c552$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2765100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c06…8478backed Under50c548.4$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Over51c519.61$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26510031%31 W · 69 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over50c501.5$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.756852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2507853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25028654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under67c481.85$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6846943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Over15c449.66$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.484231%13 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under68c356.85$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.534,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over51c343.14$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1759053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c330.32$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.132,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under61c321.06$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9996645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…6865backed Under46c315.89$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.583745.9%17 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1080…142abacked Over43c309.3$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133219.5%2 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-81.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcd56…dd56backed Over50c275.71$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Over50c268.1$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.053630.6%11 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-37.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.51,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under49c250$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under33c244$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.484744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over54c200.28$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4782763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10022242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x142e…f6e4backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b79…e1e8backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-65.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over12c194$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.284037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Under38c193$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.371154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under47c180$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.451847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over46c175$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8035743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c160$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.455654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over51c159.3$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2413152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe8…c7a6backed Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Under50c134.5$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.256535.4%23 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Over51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under49c111.9$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.071,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9e…f53abacked Over50c107.4$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.71758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under50c103.92$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9218651.6%96 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014636.3%53 W · 93 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Over50c95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.53234.4%11 W · 21 L-6.5wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed54…b090backed Over50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.431566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over51c68.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over49c64.47$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.591,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b5f…5e78backed Over49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.42147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf355…5ab7backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over69c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.413842.8%59 W · 79 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.822060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.