Premier League · resolved market
Bristol City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2855815db774ed99725d9210aacbad3f3ff94c8a546f06ae29689b5c37538e16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,060 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 5,867$3,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 46c | 5,503$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.16 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 54c | 1,561$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.86 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 427.3$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.94 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 48c | 419.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 45c | 418.13$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.34 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 48c | 308.33$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 275.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 45c | 181.37$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x776c…5c84backed Over | 47c | 157.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 52c | 148.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | +20.5wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 135.01$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 25c | 124$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 27c | 111.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…64bdbacked Under | 54c | 82.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…fd08backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 60c | 50.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 54c | 42.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 53c | 32.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723a…c574backed Over | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 76c | 14.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bristol City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Bristol City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bristol City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bristol City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bristol City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-2.5)West Bromwich Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.