TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$258,186
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$306,419

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,186 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes27c37,038$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No65c35,871$23,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,554.752286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+52.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c29,098$10,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,160.846,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c27,987$20,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,556.531,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c15,848$11,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,120.52,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No74c6,872$5,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.1785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c6,750$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.761,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No72c6,036$4,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.524,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No74c5,331$3,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.052138.1%8 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-21%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Yes31c4,843$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd246…95d8backed No74c4,768$3,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+76.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No75c4,345$3,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.2146943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes26c4,228$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes26c3,986$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.37028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No75c3,952$2,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9886737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Yes34c3,600$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2163253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d9…6964backed Yes26c3,186$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.261216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c3,166$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.271,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes26c3,121$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Yes21c3,076$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.661330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa43…22f3backed Yes26c3,003$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.93250%16 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes26c2,981$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7757732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9663…0399backed Yes26c2,698$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No76c2,622$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.6142043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes41c2,469$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes21c2,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No74c2,100$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.1116050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203971.8%28 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0d…78a5backed Yes26c1,917$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd248…0ceebacked Yes26c1,900$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ae…df3bbacked Yes29c1,741$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes25c1,696$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.0972249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No74c1,621$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.4612949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b22…677bbacked No65c1,580$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No74c1,500$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39013151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes26c1,462$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3806437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No75c1,410$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.0961143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes15c1,326$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes31c1,272$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.436041.7%25 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes6c1,200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9415735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xaba5…9a02backed Yes26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaa…7688backed Yes26c1,142$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.971020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-61.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes26c1,132$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No74c1,100$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.1452454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes26c1,004$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.853630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2606829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa248…6308backed No75c914.23$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.56560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x807d…76dcbacked Yes26c898$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.481338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes5c813.73$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7926319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Yes25c748.18$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.515461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c727.4$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.62,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No75c722$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.515470.8%109 W · 45 L+22.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0def…5045backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes26c573.08$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14910850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa83…4965backed Yes22c556.47$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202020%4 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-56.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed No70c541$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.667227.8%20 W · 52 L-11.2wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x03bd…49f8backed Yes37c508.11$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+186.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No72c500.82$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.6910341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No74c452.41$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6332453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No72c437$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5716548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No65c431.57$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.999532.6%31 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ff…013abacked Yes26c420$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.22060%12 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x72ba…fa25backed Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10459445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002516%4 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe252…5f5abacked Yes26c350$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc796…6669backed Yes28c346.43$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Yes26c330$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.82339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes22c315.06$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.464030%12 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ce…3c79backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick15cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Yes34c306.45$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1330059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7830050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7827227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9d…821fbacked Yes37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No70c300$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1224146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No74c299.97$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9959958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes25c280$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No68c273$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4111549.6%57 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes26c267.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6312236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x824e…a690backed Yes33c238$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.521020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes16c237.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3828824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2aa…6be4backed No75c233$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c230$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.921,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002853.6%15 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick66cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Yes31c221.45$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.571921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-57.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes28c204$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.17048.6%34 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Yes25c201.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf204…9c52backed Yes22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.21333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd399…185fbacked No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010940.4%44 W · 65 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205111.8%6 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-67%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51be…1805backed Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes37c197.3$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.