TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,851,469
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,976,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,851,469 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae87…c735backed Yes57c2,387,377$1,349,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349,930.93425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-58.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No44c1,766,581$774,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992,001.2119253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No44c333,742$145,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188,063.9627750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes56c261,444$146,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146,408.5818958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed No46c229,999$106,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,399.583557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes54c161,246$86,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,650.631,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c152,915$76,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,887.56,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes54c134,586$72,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,9955536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed No47c96,191$45,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,701.951735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No45c85,246$37,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,287.382,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No43c85,206$36,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,221.63946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No68c76,889$52,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,809.2235941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No46c74,999$34,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,628.481,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No44c72,000$31,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,3203369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes54c67,002$35,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,977.5628242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd414…6a0cbacked No47c57,528$27,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,421.892650%13 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No45c56,622$25,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,95031944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes54c56,077$30,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,339.0527235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No47c54,576$25,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,925.073661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No44c50,283$22,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,158.4821253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No53c46,793$24,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,992.8220545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes52c42,447$22,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,072.264065%26 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes56c40,000$22,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,4006240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes35c34,083$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,00017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No47c26,823$12,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,247.7424146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No44c25,870$11,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,419.545655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No43c23,584$10,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,442.883759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+47.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No44c21,799$9,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,174.6985048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No46c20,456$9,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,994.769856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No43c20,000$8,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,40035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Yes47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,399.991020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked No46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,799.981250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Yes48c18,789$9,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,100.931330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No47c17,860$8,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,465.791553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+69.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No47c17,014$7,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,017.625337.7%20 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Yes53c16,983$9,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,001520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked No44c16,000$7,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,979.934050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Yes56c15,171$8,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,495.777252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No45c15,000$6,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,209.9814258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd350…2583backed Yes53c14,901$7,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,945.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb868…cd81backed No47c14,505$6,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,687.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No48c13,580$6,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,018.471770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes53c13,222$7,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,007.731921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No43c12,000$5,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,84018433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No48c11,400$5,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,983.96043.3%26 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c10,609$6,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,165.834,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No46c10,487$4,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,662.9116651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No44c10,214$4,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,719.645257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No48c9,969$4,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,183.751457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No48c9,922$4,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,178.6115944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Yes52c9,808$5,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,102.141513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-77.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked No43c9,382$4,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,347.741450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes54c9,259$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes54c9,259$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009846.9%46 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No48c9,168$4,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,767.362147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+62.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No48c9,000$4,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,722.5412847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No46c9,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,859.9619239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No47c8,926$4,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,730.687035.7%25 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x980d…7763backed Yes39c8,737$3,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,395.392119%4 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No47c8,040$3,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,261.21060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No58c7,889$4,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,323.751,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No44c7,500$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2002360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+54.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed Yes55c7,211$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes35c7,190$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.925225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No47c6,938$3,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,678.531,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes49c6,457$3,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1641435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes4c6,426$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.6577336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked No43c6,357$2,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,594.355442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x601a…a675backed Yes53c6,310$3,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,331.59540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No44c5,651$2,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,164.5613444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Yes54c5,556$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002532%8 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes55c5,437$2,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,990.556240.3%25 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No44c5,407$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,054.7212949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked No47c5,361$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,861.392560%15 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2301…c95fbacked Yes56c5,355$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8b…6d8abacked Yes52c5,321$2,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7672433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No48c5,254$2,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,732.173256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked No43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8501258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No62c4,975$3,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.4846943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes55c4,942$2,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,718.283534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8394…b722backed Yes53c4,719$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick57cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xceec…4ad9backed Yes53c4,717$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-47.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes54c4,697$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,536.534431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No48c4,500$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.9916050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed No45c4,488$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.44240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No52c4,469$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.3656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes55c4,444$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.318948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No44c4,263$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.3912448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No45c4,076$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.031,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb33…7ba7backed Yes53c4,002$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed No45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.964862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.9518362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa43…22f3backed Yes52c3,849$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.243250%16 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No47c3,676$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.266550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes55c3,541$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9565246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No44c3,500$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9605949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.