Bundesliga · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff255edbbfcd546d259aba6a1ab9d9bbcdf46f68bbee1f99768325e48059465e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 11,790$5,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,258.96 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 47c | 10,290$4,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,449.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Under | 55c | 9,730$5,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,378.5 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 46c | 7,406$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392.5 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 45c | 4,885$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.08 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 47c | 4,445$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 46c | 4,338$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.3 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under | 63c | 4,203$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 3,035$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.66 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Under | 52c | 2,943$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 2,657$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.19 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Under | 55c | 2,229$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.07 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 47c | 2,191$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.66 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 2,045$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.14 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 37c | 1,820$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.4 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 15c | 1,700$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 1,591$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.96 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 45c | 1,534$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.79 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 24c | 1,443$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.29 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.05 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 53c | 1,200$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 70c | 1,062$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Under | 52c | 1,056$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 1,039$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.1 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Under | 55c | 1,009$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.25 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Over | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 43c | 962.7$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.87 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 39c | 811.48$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.13 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.88 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 38c | 760.11$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 43c | 676.06$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 578.6$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.41 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…6d10backed Under | 51c | 570.44$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 45c | 555$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 26c | 547.73$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.22 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 9c | 472.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 55c | 421.04$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.47 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 39c | 395.6$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 46c | 376.01$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.69 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 57c | 344.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 332.9$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.13 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Under | 66c | 303.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 54c | 291.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 67c | 275.42$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.17 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 57c | 268.32$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.37 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 76c | 239.24$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Under | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 45c | 213.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 40c | 205$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 66c | 199.4$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 43c | 179.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.26 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 54c | 179.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 55c | 173.37$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a30…eb65backed Under | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…4871backed Over | 45c | 158.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 55c | 153.02$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 18c | 138.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7af…1802backed Over | 47c | 135.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7f…de96backed Under | 56c | 133.87$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 29c | 126.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 34c | 112.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 54c | 108.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Over | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 47c | 96.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…832abacked Over | 18c | 95.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…64bdbacked Under | 56c | 81.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Over | 26c | 77.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7c83backed Under | 56c | 77.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…7fc7backed Under | 51c | 75.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 55c | 73.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 58c | 57.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked Over | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Over | 53c | 56.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0524…9dcebacked Over | 35c | 55.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 54c | 54.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…1297backed Under | 74c | 49.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Under | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Over | 22c | 47.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 45.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 66c | 44.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Over | 30c | 43.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…0508backed Over | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked Under | 56c | 41.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Over | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…41dfbacked Over | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: SV Werder Bremen (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)SV Werder Bremen won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)SV Werder Bremen won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.