TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will New York City FC win on 2026-04-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,073
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,073 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes52c86,586$45,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,024.5715647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes2c51,102$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.9458043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No48c29,077$13,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,120.342744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No48c28,247$13,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,688.362650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed No48c10,092$4,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,247.671631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No48c9,204$4,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,785.872166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked No48c8,266$3,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,298.251030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes52c6,284$3,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,267.431457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No48c4,037$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.073658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes52c2,507$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.6823643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No44c1,692$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.2287154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed No6c1,674$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.832646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+512.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No48c1,594$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.2853046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No13c988.25$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.044139%16 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes74c829.88$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.1619052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked No3c822.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.041118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick12cpaid+230.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No20c808.2$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.3541339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No11c711.92$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.581,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No19c701.97$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.6823548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked No48c666$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.321947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes52c485.6$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5110243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No47c469.98$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.093348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No20c440.8$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.743,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No36c433.72$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.081,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes54c372.63$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7517753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked No49c328.4$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.491752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes77c317.71$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.1622946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes75c300$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225650%3 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6890…d1a4backed Yes27c283.32$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcab9…5df5backed Yes53c275.04$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.771625%4 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7065…5292backed Yes71c248.64$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.861145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No13c247.9$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.6722263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No28c237.08$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2518774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes52c224.12$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.543844.7%17 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No73c209.3$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5119073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No49c196.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4571443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No47c194.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.344548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No48c186.01$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.721070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes76c185.1$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4812751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb7…4a53backed No48c184.07$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes52c182.21$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.753339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No50c182.13$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.951,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes55c177.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.291010%1 W · 9 L-4.3wins-0.43per pick53cpaid-82.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes12c171$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.522030%6 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes53c165.02$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.463432.4%11 W · 23 L-7.4wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-41%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No48c154.26$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2120249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes51c152$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5268550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6a…26f7backed No48c151.38$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788065%52 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed Yes50c148$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742552%13 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No15c144.95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.820535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No21c140.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6978344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes77c137.65$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.734020%8 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf08b…7e76backed Yes75c131.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No69c130.56$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8627058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab7c…746dbacked Yes79c127.55$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.63837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+62%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Yes77c120$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.362441.7%10 W · 14 L-5.9wins-0.24per pick66cpaid-40.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No48c119.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3926050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No47c115.16$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0347748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No48c113.1$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0997146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked No18c109.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.865928.8%17 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe05c…64bdbacked Yes53c107.26$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes79c105.35$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6254949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62d4…7fc9backed No48c102.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7c83backed No48c100.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No61c99.06$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.639239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Yes80c88.13$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.52857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0916…78fbbacked No48c82.27$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa230…f19fbacked No48c80.94$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c5e…7166backed Yes53c75.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…4b62backed No48c67.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No41c67$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7237249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No42c64.49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes71c61.72$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8292346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed No25c57.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.971020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Yes51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.122458.3%14 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+74.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No48c56.42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3470249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…8263backed Yes70c55.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.992343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x161f…86cebacked Yes50c53.34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes52c50.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.221838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No47c46.42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.613053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfb9…70f8backed No48c45.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8701…2075backed Yes53c45.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.31250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2b2…022bbacked No48c45.78$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No50c44.62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3115638.5%60 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes69c44.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.99357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes75c43.97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8796756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed No48c41.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.423336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9910957.8%63 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No26c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.758041.3%33 W · 47 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x093b…4e14backed No48c39.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.563375.8%25 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No50c39.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5219056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes75c38.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0345140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.441338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No45c36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x418e…3740backed Yes79c34.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No50c34.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0119255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No47c32.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.46248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5b…292bbacked Yes53c32.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.321457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Yes62c29.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.