TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,831
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,831 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes12c9,219$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.689239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes56c1,816$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.853040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes57c1,754$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.281752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No44c1,607$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.6518655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No42c1,017$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.753046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No70c979.24$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.931,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No73c923$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.3727058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes49c813.42$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.393,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No44c500$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.620249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No43c450$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.570249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No43c450$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No67c352.74$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2899340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-74.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes55c300.2$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.111,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Yes36c276.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.423762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4aca…95f7backed No46c266.22$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d9…ea04backed Yes54c260.57$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No45c257.35$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7780358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd2…9ab1backed No66c237$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No50c229.33$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3414761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd246…738cbacked Yes54c212.37$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…fde8backed No46c206.72$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202330.4%7 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+316.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes56c195$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.787140.8%29 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked No59c169.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.712560%15 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe05c…64bdbacked No46c169.61$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes56c167.86$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes26c164.58$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8312343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed No53c164$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0820660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No44c157.11$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9813553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed No54c151.4$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7719960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No43c142$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.941,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes28c126.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3335247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No43c122.09$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2497146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7101…884bbacked No76c120.91$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b99…3035backed Yes51c112.16$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No49c108.19$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.189858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes51c107.65$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.797334.2%25 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No45c99.96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9810757%61 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes45c96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2347240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes26c87.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3636051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x874f…b0a5backed Yes55c86.4$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.52425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eac…fe52backed Yes51c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+51.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Yes55c83.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1950%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes41c83.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2529370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4705…fd08backed Yes55c82.4$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes31c81.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9910753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No76c79.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.412751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765d…2e22backed Yes17c75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No59c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5712247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Yes41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes34c72.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.312040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No44c70.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.325742.1%24 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No74c60.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.742065%13 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked No70c55.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.542572%18 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfddc…931abacked Yes55c54.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.241070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No63c53.9$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0896756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes22c53.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.751,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed No69c50.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.542470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked No69c50.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.543171%22 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+48.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2935149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e76…7b84backed Yes50c45.72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+92.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed No45c45.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.991450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes36c45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.116159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes54c43.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4226150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes52c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7655750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No46c36.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9711563.5%73 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes54c33.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1191553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes53c33.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6168550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e6b…9f9bbacked Yes55c32.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9540%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes52c30.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.691931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.915051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes47c29.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.116853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No57c28.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2654949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x077f…777fbacked Yes38c28.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.761070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Yes55c27.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.953023.3%7 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7c5…2353backed Yes55c26.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8878344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.089965.7%65 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8031…c84cbacked Yes57c22.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+36.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17b6…af55backed Yes57c20.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed No59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.274247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No75c16.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1171443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No65c15.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.474663%29 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.