Mls · resolved market
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x232a98b1845a07bd4e34caa396a1b20ba569630587612775bf3e815395ca04f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 57c | 11,511$6,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 5,864$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.2 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 36c | 4,746$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.76 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 43c | 3,104$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.87 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 56c | 2,628$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.36 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 42c | 2,502$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.56 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 2,016$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.31 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 59c | 1,858$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.66 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 34c | 1,144$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.92 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 61c | 1,010$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.09 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Yes | 41c | 967.74$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 80c | 516.92$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.75 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 2c | 503$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 9c | 343.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.35 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 37c | 326.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.59 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 21c | 308.57$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.77 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca5…a155backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 49c | 294.29$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 38c | 264.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.47 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 18c | 255.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.34 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +14.3wins | +0.26per pick | 21cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 12c | 236$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 37c | 222.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.91 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 22c | 222.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.01 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 21c | 221.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.03 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 69c | 208.28$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 61c | 187.31$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.63 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 54c | 171.32$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.18 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 31c | 166$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Yes | 69c | 144.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 132.14$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 43c | 131.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.89 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996b…abf7backed Yes | 59c | 124.73$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 78c | 123.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 79c | 119$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 14c | 117.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 23c | 107.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.32 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 69c | 106$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 51c | 106$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…1c3fbacked No | 79c | 101.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 79c | 98.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 97.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked No | 56c | 95.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…44a5backed Yes | 57c | 87.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 23c | 85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 44c | 73.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 77c | 65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 47c | 61.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 46c | 60.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 60.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 20c | 59.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 42c | 59.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 41c | 57.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked No | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 57c | 49.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…7b84backed Yes | 26c | 46.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed No | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f0b2backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 56c | 39.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 56c | 35.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 57c | 21.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 59c | 21.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…952dbacked Yes | 65c | 21.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 72cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 66c | 16.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 79c | 13.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…e75fbacked Yes | 76c | 13.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will Minnesota United FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.