Asian League · resolved market
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcca35c3ca6f9acfb2060704f6fe0e4ca7d054e2b4086c96107285e1ccd87cb33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,811 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 32c | 3,551$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.65 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 2,909$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.57 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 35c | 2,059$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.5 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…802cbacked Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 34c | 827.54$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.63 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Yes | 78c | 553.68$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 36c | 528.22$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 31c | 483.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.77 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed No | 21c | 472.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 62c | 402.35$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes | 79c | 367.96$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +50%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 38c | 257.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked No | 20c | 227.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 20c | 193.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 75c | 173.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…a0ebbacked Yes | 62c | 154.84$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 34c | 152.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…3594backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 23c | 149.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 68c | 138.62$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…b1f8backed Yes | 73c | 121.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…5c2abacked Yes | 64c | 110.24$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 68c | 108.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe032…410ebacked Yes | 62c | 106.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 32c | 102.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked No | 36c | 102.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f49…b482backed Yes | 62c | 102.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…8bb6backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608d…3933backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…59c2backed Yes | 69c | 95.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 71c | 88.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed Yes | 68c | 78.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…da9ebacked Yes | 66c | 77.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…3479backed Yes | 71c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…c46cbacked Yes | 73c | 60.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8419…65d0backed Yes | 75c | 59.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 64c | 50.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 51c | 47.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932e…6f5abacked Yes | 64c | 46.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad1…1708backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 33c | 44.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 66c | 42.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 33c | 34.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Yes | 65c | 33.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed Yes | 66c | 31.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 60c | 30.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked Yes | 69c | 29.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 68c | 27.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee92…7ec3backed Yes | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 61c | 25.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…c7eabacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 64c | 23.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…64bdbacked Yes | 71c | 22.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +7.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 66c | 18.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 66c | 18.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cd…2da0backed Yes | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Yes | 66c | 17.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…a525backed Yes | 62c | 17.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 67c | 16.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…a15abacked Yes | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 74c | 13.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-03-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.