TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No69c5,214$3,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.385459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes36c3,184$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.963748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes50c2,935$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.762,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c2,813$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.2249850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No80c2,431$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.2122373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes47c2,033$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.271,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes22c2,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.749576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed No14c1,224$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.541861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick39cpaid+101.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No38c1,113$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.472951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No73c642.72$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.382466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No13c630.7$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.3216819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes22c600$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1327424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No22c455.94$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.896950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cbc…faebbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes29c421$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.044524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No78c380.33$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0534239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes38c358.93$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.727453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c341.28$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes54c337.27$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.7612044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes20c326.4$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5617651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes36c319.8$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1132650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes26c307.69$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807837.2%29 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6060%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x845a…37acbacked Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6050%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes17c282$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.534339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes70c240.2$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.095955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes24c225.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.078232.9%27 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes25c205.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7339740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810757%61 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f6…55aabacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes24c193.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.57051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes29c186.43$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.061346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c186.36$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No76c176$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7611053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed Yes20c173.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.75616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe05c…64bdbacked Yes30c168.37$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e30…5629backed Yes26c151.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+76.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.863026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No70c134.16$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.259950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes19c128.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.952711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+206%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8328…feb3backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid+12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c104.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3241854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4705…fd08backed No71c101.97$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.57540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c84…9acfbacked Yes20c100.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes67c96$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.162951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Yes20c95.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.05837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed No17c87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.211668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.28per pick40cpaid+63.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes30c84.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2535646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes30c84.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.25650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes49c79.01$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.712166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c78.67$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.639354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No70c73.35$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0713350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes28c72.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1331958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.422080%16 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bd5…d8d3backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x874f…b0a5backed No71c63.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No70c60.67$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.221054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Yes20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+108.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Yes20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123030%9 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+110%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71c4…eb56backed Yes65c59.24$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.541361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No74c53.38$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.994452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes69c50.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No70c49.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1515354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes24c42.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.219561.1%58 W · 37 L+14.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0dca…a234backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes31c39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.096845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No71c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.316544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4552…eac6backed No69c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.231080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No69c32.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x320b…78b4backed No76c30.26$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No69c30.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3120749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No50c28.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5341144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbb…d067backed Yes73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes51c26.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2711667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked No45c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes76c24.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8522743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No70c24.77$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4315946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0ae…02ffbacked No62c22.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.68944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.15139.2%20 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6444…672ebacked No70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed No78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.231050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.