TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$173,026
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,026 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes36c30,000$10,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,299.8810952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No66c13,912$9,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,181.812040%8 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No64c11,327$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,249.584757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No64c7,704$4,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,946.2793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490e…42f1backed No1c7,327$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.51850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c6,004$3,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,911.8298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Yes38c5,267$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,267.053167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes71c5,139$3,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.6331738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No66c5,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3006360.3%38 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No65c4,121$2,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,673.419952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9976…59acbacked Yes63c4,002$2,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No46c3,730$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.111163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c2,876$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.8468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No28c2,545$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.6134239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes15c2,457$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.411353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No28c2,344$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.262466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No25c2,333$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.985271.2%37 W · 15 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes34c2,130$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.424953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3204528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No27c1,869$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.844339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Yes35c1,714$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.294658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes37c1,662$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.772951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No31c1,547$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.5129862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.158033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes24c1,473$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.481637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…7e93backed No47c1,451$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.22650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked No39c1,410$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No39c1,387$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.941717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No62c1,370$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.8612044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No59c1,325$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.0149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes33c1,315$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.0510940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No74c1,255$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9275955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes71c1,131$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.8822743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes76c1,105$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.8922373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No52c1,020$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.6441144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked No1c1,001$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.01771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes33c999.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+84.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed No49c980.39$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.391030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No64c964.51$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.8513839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes72c941.9$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.432650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No67c926.06$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.4616045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No41c821.6$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.759576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes50c782.12$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.1711667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No43c719.76$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.121947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No67c664.49$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.217358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa7…3fbabacked Yes15c633.82$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.83771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+105.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes35c612.18$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.9726241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…ad0fbacked Yes16c611.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+348.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No36c556.21$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.254524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes34c521.99$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.4412153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked No39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No28c457.14$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12831958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes55c448.96$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.053946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Yes9c447.55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.213177.4%24 W · 7 L+6.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+92.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes54c442$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.782080%16 W · 4 L+6.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+113.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No48c405.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7622545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes53c403.3$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.4927453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No50c401.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.983141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee4d…5413backed Yes53c378.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No53c377.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.983243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes35c371.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.2433951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6af5…992abacked Yes35c359.23$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+49.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x845a…37acbacked No20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6050%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes73c289.3$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.111136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes70c286.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.621145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No37c270.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.992642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes47c250$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.58548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Yes36c243.56$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+208.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No69c217.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504374.4%32 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No65c207$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4822237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked No67c202.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1364932.7%16 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No50c200.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.994463.6%28 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+30.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe9f6…55aabacked No20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes72c198.48$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5132843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No41c181.28$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1639740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes59c169.88$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.382240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes61c165.18$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.955967.8%40 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Yes15c165$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.25425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes31c159.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.311,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed No64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed No65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes34c149.54$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6941954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4813…9c01backed No39c138.74$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes77c136.53$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.531866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+46.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes34c126.78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6711146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No37c123$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5146742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed No47c122.9$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed No38c120$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.63737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+13.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes36c119.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7915844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes34c114$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2442347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No25c110.54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.697846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdac0…3a6fbacked Yes36c108.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked No66c104.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.291369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes18c104.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.762711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+206%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No66c102.86$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8836456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658640.7%35 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes51c96.82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.482965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.