Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. TCU Horned Frogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dd66ec3930829fbe2a1dcf5ff67d236be9e6802badcb2bb8e431abc0c8a9dec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TCU Horned Frogsof Arizona State Sun Devils, TCU Horned Frogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 73c | 3,454$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.88 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 27c | 2,368$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.32 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 28c | 1,688$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.26 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 73c | 1,202$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.8 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 67c | 1,034$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.44 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed TCU Horned Frogs | 77c | 1,018$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.71 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 19c | 908.13$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.65 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 26c | 700.82$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.53 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed TCU Horned Frogs | 77c | 651.38$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.6 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 27c | 529.1$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.98 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 28c | 499.28$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 21c | 480.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed TCU Horned Frogs | 69c | 409.31$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.92 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 27c | 400$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6a…1985backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 27c | 369.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 29cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 73c | 336.01$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed TCU Horned Frogs | 73c | 303.68$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 33c | 285.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 18c | 219.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 27c | 207$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 27c | 199.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d1…a379backed TCU Horned Frogs | 74c | 167.78$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 28c | 141.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TCU Horned Frogs | 67c | 131.47$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa60…9b86backed TCU Horned Frogs | 76c | 130.74$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 74c | 127.51$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed TCU Horned Frogs | 75c | 117.82$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 75c | 104.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed TCU Horned Frogs | 77c | 93.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed TCU Horned Frogs | 73c | 86.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…6ce1backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 23c | 86.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 24c | 84.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed TCU Horned Frogs | 73c | 72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7c83backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 28c | 64.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 27c | 60.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f0…dd88backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 53c | 54.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 78c | 52.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed TCU Horned Frogs | 74c | 49.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 27c | 49.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 73c | 47.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed TCU Horned Frogs | 65c | 47.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…993abacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed TCU Horned Frogs | 70c | 39.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d9…58f5backed TCU Horned Frogs | 73c | 36.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 28c | 35.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 33c | 32.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 72c | 32.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed TCU Horned Frogs | 73c | 29.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…64bdbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 73c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed TCU Horned Frogs | 71c | 19.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona State Sun Devils vs. TCU Horned Frogsthis page
- Arizona State Sun Devils vs. TCU Horned Frogs: O/U 147.5Over won
- Arizona State Sun Devils vs. TCU Horned Frogs: O/U 148.5Over won
- Arizona State Sun Devils vs. TCU Horned Frogs: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-6.5)TCU Horned Frogs won
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-7.5)TCU Horned Frogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.