La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea429279bc5e38b14e2a55c0b4ef8fc449c48cc1b9845305d6e94f81640e137c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $667,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $667,502 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 435 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 12c | 98,302$11,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,309.21 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 50c | 83,031$41,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,515.25 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked No | 49c | 77,387$37,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,735.86 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Yes | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 50c | 24,168$12,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,981.91 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 50c | 22,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 52cpaid | -75%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Yes | 49c | 16,953$8,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,645.98 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 50c | 11,285$5,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,589.73 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.97 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 11c | 9,479$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.2 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 50c | 9,387$4,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650.45 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 48c | 9,290$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,790 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 8,944$4,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,561.19 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 8,901$4,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,377.67 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 49c | 8,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.94 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 50c | 7,700$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850.02 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 48c | 6,680$3,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,235 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed No | 0c | 5,698$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 6c | 5,189$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.98 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 51c | 5,109$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.53 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Yes | 49c | 4,994$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.39 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Yes | 50c | 4,444$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 48c | 4,421$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.08 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 78c | 4,040$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.71 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked No | 50c | 3,604$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.89 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 56c | 3,572$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.17 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 54c | 3,168$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.78 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 51c | 3,006$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.96 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…65d8backed No | 50c | 2,970$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 55c | 2,886$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.18 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 34c | 2,596$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.58 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 50c | 2,458$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 51c | 2,363$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.74 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…cef9backed Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 50c | 1,806$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,800$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 49c | 1,626$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.03 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 15c | 1,602$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.58 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 52c | 1,501$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.48 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 49c | 1,481$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.89 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed No | 51c | 1,436$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked No | 50c | 1,422$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 1,203$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.32 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 50c | 1,201$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.07 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Yes | 51c | 1,177$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.27 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 50c | 1,099$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.46 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 46c | 1,085$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.78 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 48c | 959.58$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.6 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 51c | 954.62$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.07 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa562…08d0backed Yes | 51c | 888$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9a…3f4bbacked No | 50c | 860$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 50c | 852.8$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.4 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 17c | 830$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.39 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 48c | 827.27$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.09 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Yes | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Yes | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 50c | 728.68$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.52 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed No | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed No | 48c | 671$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.08 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -6.9wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 75c | 614.6$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.65 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Yes | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…1811backed Yes | 50c | 500$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 51c | 483.69$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.01 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Yes | 51c | 477.31$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.04 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 51c | 436.66$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.7 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Yes | 50c | 430.72$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.36 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed No | 50c | 422.55$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 51c | 416.34$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.33 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…5852backed Yes | 52c | 412.36$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed No | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 50c | 394$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 50c | 380$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 50c | 348$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.77 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 51c | 325.55$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.02 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 51c | 319.95$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…352ebacked Yes | 52c | 313.71$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 15c | 310.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 50c | 300.01$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.15 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.