TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,902 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9d3…22d1backed No77c4,398$3,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.491741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c2,864$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.421,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes1c1,983$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.23,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x142e…f6e4backed Yes24c1,895$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.91553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c1,751$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.7592254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9007…2421backed Yes2c1,606$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.751625%4 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No76c1,442$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.0735148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed No78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.051662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes23c1,195$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.3711146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes9c970.04$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.324,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c27…6a47backed Yes24c787.08$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes2c705.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126319%12 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No76c599.96$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9921355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9215940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No77c399.98$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9442851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba09…5142backed Yes23c356.26$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c338.01$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.562,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Yes24c312.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753429.4%10 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6023455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No78c230.77$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7714759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No78c222$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.847653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No76c209.19$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2124145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes5c203.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6740%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468728.7%25 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4614028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b20…de61backed Yes24c196.4$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes10c192.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d08…578ebacked Yes6c176.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No77c151.05$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Yes23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.56440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa33d…eabebacked No79c149.73$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+120%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes23c144$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1226550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d8…b900backed No79c143.72$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.183100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes7c139.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3460832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes24c131.96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.44728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+2.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2113668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e56…114dbacked No78c121.03$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.634100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+78.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c42…ba43backed No79c118.91$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.97366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28a7…119bbacked No78c117.63$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc880…d360backed No78c117.6$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+142.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ecb…fb4dbacked Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No78c106.63$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.478550.6%43 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf944…50eebacked Yes23c104.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252025%5 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a85…1811backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225961%36 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd119…28abbacked No78c96.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.573775.7%28 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd09a…e290backed No74c93.24$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.242277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes23c92.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3832645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d77…b7bebacked Yes25c92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x189c…2b05backed Yes12c91.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119721.6%21 W · 76 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f2…a227backed Yes23c82.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db2…cf94backed No78c79.49$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.49580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd423…3c98backed Yes23c78.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes22c70.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4283650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes22c70$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2326…78d9backed Yes24c66.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165040%20 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed No78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12161.9%13 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick74cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed No78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.16251.6%32 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb756…5846backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c5a…9b3bbacked No78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.281145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213419.4%26 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1225551.4%131 W · 124 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes24c49.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.932142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Yes23c46.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.692254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked No78c46.15$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.154850%24 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed No77c43.48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eba…231bbacked No78c42.76$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No77c42$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6653242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No77c41.83$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.622171.4%15 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No77c39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9728558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb9…261cbacked No78c37.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No77c36.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.365156.9%29 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b38…a036backed No78c35.09$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.854761.7%29 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No77c30.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0889050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7823…9f3dbacked No78c30.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7511761.5%72 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7c…ef39backed No78c27.91$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e6d…1e33backed No78c27.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.04875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…3081backed No77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.974100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked No78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.644465.9%29 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No78c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6218564.9%120 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No78c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.629267.4%62 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No78c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6217660.2%106 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb727…cc1dbacked No78c24.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc166…f6cdbacked No78c23.94$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No78c20.27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4612653.2%67 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.841348.7%201 W · 212 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x093b…4e14backed No78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.373762.2%23 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcae7…c218backed No78c13.14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c87…7f4abacked No78c12.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.831573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.