Premier League · resolved market
Stoke City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc90f024f37ea252f4beec96dc09acd6f123357c395c8f4459d86e98fa81c6f2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 1,140$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.17 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 44c | 1,009$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.84 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 45c | 950.06$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.53 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea9…0924backed Under | 45c | 471.79$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…d613backed Under | 45c | 435.13$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 55c | 363.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.79 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 288.58$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 283.25$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 49c | 275.91$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 52c | 263.57$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.76 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 55c | 250.47$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.71 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 48c | 187.42$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…31edbacked Under | 45c | 163.31$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 55c | 143.48$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 50c | 141.61$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Under | 44c | 135.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -7.1wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x36c4…b9c8backed Under | 16c | 118.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 56c | 117.49$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19a…3808backed Over | 57c | 88.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 52c | 85.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…c410backed Over | 56c | 83.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…64bdbacked Over | 56c | 81.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 53c | 81.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Under | 53c | 66.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…779fbacked Over | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 56c | 59.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 59.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 56c | 58.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -5.3wins | -0.41per pick | 49cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Under | 44c | 51.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 57c | 51.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Over | 53c | 50.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 48c | 50.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 41.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 50c | 32.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 24.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 45c | 24.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Under | 45c | 23.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 53c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stoke City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Stoke City FC won
- Stoke City FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stoke City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.