Asian League · resolved market
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-04-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8259938829539537695292467393f1f0b1af95b66a5e1a58605fa4b33fd90f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 35c | 1,585$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 74c | 614.07$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.43 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 17c | 598.87$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.06 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +14.4wins | +0.21per pick | 14cpaid | +170%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 504.55$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.56 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Yes | 63c | 399.93$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 10c | 351$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.9 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 24c | 334.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.51 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 303.37$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 58c | 255.86$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 32c | 245$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Yes | 53c | 208.93$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 11c | 205$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.45 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb598…7d52backed Yes | 63c | 205$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yes | 66c | 196.18$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +6.7wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked No | 19c | 192.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +291.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…64bdbacked No | 38c | 163.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 62c | 155.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…a505backed Yes | 28c | 125.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 61c | 106.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af0…a4d3backed Yes | 63c | 95.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 37c | 92.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 28c | 90.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 40c | 89.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 14c | 89.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +214.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 69c | 88.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 36c | 81.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38bb…2fcfbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…9fc3backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 34c | 78.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 25c | 73.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 62c | 71.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 38c | 71.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Yes | 61c | 68.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b12…92dfbacked No | 37c | 66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +168.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be8…284dbacked Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 38c | 54.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 40c | 54.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 68c | 53.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0f…9e98backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 39c | 44.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 49c | 44.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 37c | 43.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 61c | 41.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 62c | 37.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd082…1375backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Yes | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 38c | 30.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 37c | 30.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 51c | 28.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 46c | 26.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 67c | 23.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 346 | 59.8%207 W · 139 L | +49.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 53c | 22.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…8b2dbacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-04-28?this page
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-04-28?No won
- Will NEOM SC vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.