TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will FC Dallas win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$326,435

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,435 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes42c141,095$58,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,688.3915647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No58c46,381$26,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,480.02771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes44c34,146$15,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,024.221233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No59c19,945$11,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,218.2525149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No57c19,697$11,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,469.8913053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No57c19,113$10,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,179.31,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c18,984$10,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,046.3397146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No59c14,731$8,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,051.19683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No59c13,768$8,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,632.562181%17 W · 4 L+6.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+55.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c10,057$7,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,746.247748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No58c9,043$5,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,798.061266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes40c9,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6002751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No59c7,285$4,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,013.5212451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Yes43c6,977$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes16c6,484$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.43528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes40c6,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4004035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No58c5,085$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.851752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Yes42c4,721$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c4,001$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.293,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No60c3,773$2,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.21471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No60c3,500$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4005054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No60c3,182$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.85251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes22c2,727$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.6229370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No56c2,679$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.7613347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed No61c2,513$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.62065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes4c2,446$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3831834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No56c1,874$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.5613948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No60c1,500$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60515341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No60c1,472$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.89151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No61c1,452$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.8580358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes19c1,255$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.862536%9 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No58c1,205$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.9837649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42011854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No61c998$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+110.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No74c971.31$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.291,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No58c862.06$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.071747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No72c840.99$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.3854949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No59c712.03$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.931250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2466155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes44c590.91$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+47.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed No60c590$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2362857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No61c577$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.034252.4%22 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No68c514.88$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.1621545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004456.8%25 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes15c370.66$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.931,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked No60c348.04$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.22842.9%12 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes14c317.61$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4345140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes15c309.61$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8137138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12019657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes37c290$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.764932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No60c288.4$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.539740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes17c264.89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.448251.2%42 W · 40 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Yes8c260.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2250%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes43c231.34$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.83426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No60c225$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Yes6c212.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.515961%36 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No58c173.4$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8339234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes36c170.7$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8696756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No58c165.97$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.247150.7%36 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe05c…64bdbacked Yes37c165.56$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No58c164.06$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9110648.1%51 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa35…0624backed No62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6020154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Yes36c144$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.844445.5%20 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+36.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No63c130.96$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.464052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No63c129$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.824362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Yes42c117.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.981540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes30c117.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7828721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No60c115$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed No58c110.91$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.582263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Yes13c109.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.671533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No64c106.25$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.259660.4%58 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No62c106$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2824351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405152.9%27 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4013557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked No73c94.83$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.831376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9565…93efbacked No59c94.44$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes37c93.08$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4442947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No60c90$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No60c90$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes39c89.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d9…58f5backed No64c87.69$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdab…8dc6backed Yes41c84.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Yes39c81.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9640%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5154…ea77backed No64c78.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes39c63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2723643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c42…1358backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.