Mls · resolved market
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1a98a0946ad375341ca3906c4cbb4082cbcba8ec635865114ac7e7a1305e7f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,619 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 38c | 33,463$12,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,767.21 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 24,626$11,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,864.15 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 59c | 22,854$13,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,444.9 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 16,401$10,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,228.29 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 12,824$8,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,614.03 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 35c | 10,553$3,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,662.56 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 64c | 7,500$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 65c | 6,838$4,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.8 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 45c | 5,000$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.48 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed No | 42c | 4,276$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 61c | 3,880$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.13 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 2,476$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.51 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 34c | 2,168$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.22 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Yes | 34c | 1,971$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 62c | 1,878$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.01 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 58c | 1,735$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 28c | 1,723$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.13 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…a7d5backed No | 62c | 1,622$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…ba57backed Yes | 38c | 1,620$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 67c | 1,492$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.36 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,482$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.37 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 1,262$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.65 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…d650backed Yes | 39c | 1,032$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 1,009$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.47 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 922.48$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.89 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 45c | 872.86$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.77 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 44c | 858.85$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.16 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 45c | 852.73$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.5 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 33c | 775.39$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.09 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 47c | 750.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.65 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 54c | 571.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.98 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 29c | 500$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.92 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 62c | 500$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 63c | 449.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 68c | 442.5$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.77 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…93efbacked No | 62c | 437.76$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 65c | 433.76$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 420.32$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.52 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 40c | 403.61$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.48 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…25ddbacked Yes | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 67c | 350$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes | 46c | 340.28$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 47c | 318.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…dbfabacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 32c | 291.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.36 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 55c | 286.57$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.07 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 54c | 272.88$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.45 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked No | 64c | 270$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…ffaabacked Yes | 39c | 256.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 57c | 254.83$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 68c | 225$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 35c | 222$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 59c | 203.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 30c | 196.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.08 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…44a5backed Yes | 77c | 194.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 31c | 191.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.59 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa35…0624backed Yes | 35c | 190.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 50c | 188.3$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…8703backed No | 18c | 176.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 33c | 172.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 34c | 165$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 34c | 156.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 37c | 153.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 150$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 64c | 141$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed No | 41c | 130.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Yes | 35c | 128.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68f…3211backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 61c | 125$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed No | 42c | 119.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +77%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 43c | 118$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 61c | 115$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 24c | 110$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.95 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b4…7ef9backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 68c | 101.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 35c | 100.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 38c | 98.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 61c | 98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will FC Dallas vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Dallas win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.