TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9565…93ef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$3.98
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+120.9%+$19.44
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$4.65
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$7.13
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.07
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+174.9%+$19.41
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$15.17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$18.8
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.88
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.19
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.39
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.35
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.13
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$182.89
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$276.37
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.8
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.16
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.46
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.49
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+153.5%+$34.95
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$12.08
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.25
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$14.82
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+37.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.88
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$25.03
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$45.92
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$53.9
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+59%+$29.34
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$15.99
Spread: Heat (-16.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.64
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+28%+$33.42
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$73.17
Spread: Raptors (-9.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.61
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.97
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+246.8%+$125.35
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.37
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.33
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.03
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+191.4%+$25.49
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.69
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.26
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.41
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$44.81
Counter-Strike: Unsettled Resentment vs TYLOO (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked Unsettled Resentment · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.37
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.42
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+400%+$99.52
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.56
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49%+$7.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+33%+$26.18
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.4
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+198.3%+$98.66
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$105.58
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.45
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.71
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.79
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+54.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-72.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-57.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.73
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.31
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-5.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Israelbacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.5
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Mexicobacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.24
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$72.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NEC vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Marwan Rahiki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$25.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.