TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,555

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,555 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Under42c45,313$18,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,355.929649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over56c30,830$17,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,311.9925149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c8,294$4,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,556.823,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over55c6,221$3,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,421.68845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under45c5,347$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.052133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under45c5,345$2,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,918.811233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under45c5,256$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,890.562934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under45c3,506$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.312451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over57c3,500$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9951850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over59c3,500$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0655054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over59c2,500$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4755251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.221127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over56c2,037$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.241450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over59c1,557$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.3715341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over60c1,250$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75013347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over59c1,115$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.2197146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under41c721.72$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.0113053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under45c667$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.859652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x818c…b0adbacked Over53c629.29$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over56c599.99$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.996155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…84f5backed Over56c496.99$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.3120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c435.03$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.2677751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over60c416$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.65024%12 W · 38 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2363655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17719657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Under41c299.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.994100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+142%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over59c257.1$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6942947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over59c250$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.55257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over50c241.82$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1224645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over59c225$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.754656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Over56c223.21$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over56c207.94$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8758043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Over43c207$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.633333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Over59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1182458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over59c191.9$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2239234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Over57c182.46$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over57c175.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Over38c157$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.942850%14 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.58653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.53354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.54961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.520154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over58c149.48$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.436256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Over59c145$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.55785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+84.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over58c137.54$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.247150.7%36 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over58c130.22$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5310648.1%51 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over32c121$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0537138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Over36c119$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.364438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over59c115$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.855651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over59c111.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over46c103.36$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.751,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595152.9%27 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5913557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4513243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over59c99.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.998446.4%39 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under59c97.98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1728851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under46c97.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.83887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick54cpaid+65.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14fb…4ecdbacked Under44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…93efbacked Over55c90.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over59c90$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.15556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over59c90$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.15154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over58c78.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8313950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d12…a4c4backed Over41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304271.4%30 W · 12 L+8.5wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over58c72.91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.635850%29 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.45451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.45352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.46256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.45056%28 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.44854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.45149%25 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.44953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.45046%23 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.45352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.45152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.44951%25 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.45653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over58c52.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.566555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over58c51.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.55261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bba…4c7abacked Under73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over64c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.43348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over56c39.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.610255.9%57 W · 45 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under44c36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.161,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over46c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.11,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over57c34.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.454955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Over59c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.065633.9%19 W · 37 L-9.8wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over59c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.068942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over34c34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.56425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…99febacked Under46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.61666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over58c32.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.754447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over45c31.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1629460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under42c31.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.298251.2%42 W · 40 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.74755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under55c29.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3919645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over58c27.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9755750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.