Mls · resolved market
Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5682c28550b4f8d9321693d438fd7175073ac26b8d6ea77b3c088bbd5c7fa2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,171 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Under | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.94 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 63c | 6,941$4,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.17 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 3,682$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.53 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Over | 37c | 3,500$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 37c | 624.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.25 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Over | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 33c | 360$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 37c | 245$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked Over | 38c | 196.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 37c | 180.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…4befbacked Over | 26c | 172.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Over | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 37c | 115$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 36c | 108.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 63c | 103.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Under | 76c | 97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 35c | 89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 20c | 86.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 36c | 84.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 36c | 82.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 30c | 78.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1667…4806backed Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 77.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 37c | 62.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 33c | 58.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 37c | 57.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 36c | 53.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 80c | 50.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 72c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 37c | 42.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2281…d7a4backed Over | 35c | 42.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 36c | 36.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 68c | 35.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 68c | 34.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked Under | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 36c | 31.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 36c | 30.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 37c | 28.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…31b7backed Under | 64c | 26.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 64c | 24.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…869abacked Under | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 76c | 17.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)Nashville SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.