Mls · resolved market
Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10651a50d34427e3502f9509fdfdeefb864a5545c973b47d4cd4c978dc1a2399
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,783 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 66c | 670.58$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.98 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 68c | 463.68$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.98 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 315.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.83 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 27c | 302.36$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 46c | 280.33$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 56c | 177.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Yes | 54c | 167$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 50c | 142.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 115.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 104.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked No | 48c | 86.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 53c | 57.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 75c | 49.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked No | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 60c | 22.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)Nashville SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.