Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60ce50b09e4026112477b438c12d1b6c98fa7c2a46d20cbac27644f150555dfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Falcons, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $482,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $482,386 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Spirit | 48c | 57,727$27,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,017.8 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 52c | 40,292$20,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,951.99 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 51c | 22,237$11,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,937.38 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 13c | 20,211$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.97 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 15,319$7,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,506.34 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 51c | 14,685$7,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,489.52 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Team Spirit | 47c | 12,796$6,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,772.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Falcons | 49c | 11,439$5,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,572.38 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Falcons | 52c | 11,111$5,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,777.72 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Spirit | 49c | 10,204$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,206.08 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Spirit | 77c | 10,082$7,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.87 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 6,662$3,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.12 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Team Falcons | 52c | 5,179$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Team Falcons | 51c | 5,146$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.08 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Spirit | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Team Falcons | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Spirit | 48c | 4,982$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.48 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Team Falcons | 43c | 4,978$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.48 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 4,584$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.61 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Team Spirit | 48c | 3,986$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.71 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Team Falcons | 53c | 3,900$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.99 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 46c | 3,832$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.24 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Team Falcons | 56c | 3,569$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Team Falcons | 49c | 3,392$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.38 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.99 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 2,758$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.02 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Falcons | 76c | 2,753$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.1 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Team Falcons | 25c | 2,713$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Falcons | 51c | 2,570$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.86 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Team Falcons | 52c | 2,549$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Team Spirit | 48c | 2,534$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.65 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 2,206$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.18 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Team Falcons | 5c | 2,197$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.21 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed Team Spirit | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 2,052$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.77 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Team Falcons | 59c | 2,045$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Team Falcons | 56c | 2,026$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.89 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Team Falcons | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Team Spirit | 48c | 1,913$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.31 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,864$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.62 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Falcons | 25c | 1,830$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.91 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebb…00febacked Team Falcons | 42c | 1,700$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,545$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.24 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 1,529$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.95 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Team Falcons | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Falcons | 33c | 1,388$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.02 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Team Falcons | 52c | 1,333$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.5 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 1,332$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.32 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…2230backed Team Spirit | 46c | 1,264$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.38 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,261$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.1 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 47c | 1,208$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.37 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Falcons | 42c | 1,205$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Falcons | 51c | 1,200$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.98 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,189$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.71 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Team Falcons | 40c | 1,148$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Spirit | 46c | 1,143$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.9 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 1,075$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Spirit | 62c | 1,058$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.92 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 49c | 1,058$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.6 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…3539backed Team Spirit | 47c | 1,022$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.47 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Team Spirit | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.03 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Team Falcons | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Team Falcons | 50c | 961.54$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.77 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Team Falcons | 26c | 898.14$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.96 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Falcons | 51c | 886.52$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.68 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit | 52c | 865.51$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.65 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Spirit | 12c | 862.93$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.62 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed Team Falcons | 10c | 850$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed Team Falcons | 7c | 830.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Team Spirit | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Falcons | 14c | 805.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.12 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Team Spirit | 62c | 801.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.34 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4af1backed Team Spirit | 48c | 779$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…c499backed Team Falcons | 48c | 760.55$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.36 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -5.6wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Falcons | 8c | 749.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 739.31$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.44 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Falcons | 41c | 726.9$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.56 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 42c | 717.61$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.93 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Team Falcons | 42c | 717.07$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.69 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Spirit | 49c | 716.43$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.33 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Falcons | 21c | 710$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1299backed Team Falcons | 12c | 709.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Spirit | 46c | 700$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.47 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Team Spirit | 65c | 681.82$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.72 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Team Spirit | 45c | 669.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.51 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Spirit | 47c | 647.47$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.96 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Team Spirit | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.39 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…0c39backed Team Spirit | 74c | 579.1$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Team Falcons | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Team Falcons | 52c | 566.06$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.33 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Falcons | 22c | 560.12$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.8 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Falcons | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Team Spirit | 78c | 555$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.05 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Team Spirit | 56c | 550.68$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.04 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…48a9backed Team Falcons | 47c | 530.96$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.76 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.