Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe4e4e28161ce3dca386d5eae627f0747f69d5ef825ce0df997630a17447aca1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,777 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 50c | 17,021$8,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,468.24 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Falcons | 51c | 11,079$5,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,417.75 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Falcons | 49c | 6,145$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.2 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 49c | 6,000$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 42c | 5,085$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.2 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Falcons | 51c | 3,961$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.49 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 3,585$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.95 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Spirit | 51c | 3,098$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.8 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Team Falcons | 47c | 2,540$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.59 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Falcons | 60c | 2,345$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.8 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Team Spirit | 63c | 2,207$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 2,204$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.47 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 2,203$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.67 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 2,121$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.69 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Team Falcons | 7c | 2,106$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.85 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Team Falcons | 54c | 2,000$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.3 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Falcons | 32c | 1,955$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.46 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Falcons | 73c | 1,881$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.25 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 1,755$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.25 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 1,688$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.15 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 1,681$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.34 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 46c | 1,420$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.06 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,300$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Spirit | 51c | 1,094$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.62 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,067$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.6 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Team Spirit | 53c | 938.17$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Team Spirit | 24c | 900$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 899.99$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked Team Falcons | 24c | 755.52$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.53 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Falcons | 41c | 733.73$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.58 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 41c | 715.04$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.37 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 636.97$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.6 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Team Falcons | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 600.56$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.69 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 42c | 600$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Team Falcons | 29c | 590.89$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.07 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Falcons | 38c | 561.1$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.63 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 558.69$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.82 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed Team Falcons | 37c | 541.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.56 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Falcons | 23c | 535.93$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.45 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 488.12$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.12 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons | 14c | 470.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.79 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Spirit | 56c | 464.82$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Team Falcons | 9c | 457$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.93 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Spirit | 57c | 449.97$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.04 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Falcons | 19c | 447.75$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.98 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…ce3bbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 442.69$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.06 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…d28fbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 437.1$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.67 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Spirit | 41c | 431$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.74 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Team Spirit | 18c | 413.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Falcons | 14c | 404.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.23 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Spirit | 54c | 400$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.86 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…c74fbacked Team Falcons | 28c | 399.81$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.9 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Team Falcons | 50c | 398.04$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.04 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 392.27$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.53 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Falcons | 50c | 336.6$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.64 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Team Falcons | 31c | 319.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.09 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Spirit | 18c | 304.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Team Spirit | 66c | 301.08$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.44 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Team Falcons | 31c | 294$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.86 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Falcons | 16c | 285.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.68 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…3539backed Team Spirit | 36c | 277.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Team Spirit | 58c | 275.82$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Team Falcons | 53c | 273.32$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.37 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed Team Spirit | 39c | 257.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Falcons | 79c | 253.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Team Falcons | 33c | 244.02$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.49 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…c7c9backed Team Spirit | 62c | 243.13$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.52 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Team Falcons | 55c | 234.46$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.46 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 220$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 59c | 214.59$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.61 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Spirit | 49c | 213.93$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.43 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Team Spirit | 47c | 204.24$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Team Falcons | 18c | 201.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…9079backed Team Falcons | 10c | 200.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed Team Falcons | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…7d8abacked Team Spirit | 73c | 200$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.8wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc6…f17abacked Team Spirit | 52c | 198.1$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5261…3ddbbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 190.53$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Team Spirit | 77c | 182.39$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.37 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Spirit | 57c | 178.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…b386backed Team Falcons | 55c | 174.55$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 321 | 54.8%176 W · 145 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Spirit | 47c | 169.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Team Spirit | 48c | 167.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Team Falcons | 21c | 162.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.49 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Team Falcons | 55c | 162.19$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Team Falcons | 23c | 160$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…adc7backed Team Falcons | 11c | 158.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.14 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Team Falcons | 76c | 142.67$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Team Spirit | 69c | 136.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 127.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Team Falcons | 41c | 122.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Falcons | 10c | 122$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.3 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 112.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 109.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Spirit | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.