Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5be7a28fb4ce3606761ae81dee5375aa2332740a5ec76a9003e67fb862852cf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Falcons, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,862 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 45c | 15,290$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,390.37 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Falcons | 49c | 8,803$4,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,321.79 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 44c | 7,160$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,979.37 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Falcons | 69c | 7,058$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860.14 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Team Falcons | 2c | 6,713$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.08 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Falcons | 70c | 6,162$4,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,298.36 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 6,142$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.43 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Team Falcons | 62c | 5,784$3,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601.93 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Falcons | 50c | 4,348$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.89 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Team Spirit | 51c | 4,000$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.83 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 4,000$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.69 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Falcons | 72c | 2,926$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.9 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.99 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Team Falcons | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 1,774$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.53 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Team Spirit | 53c | 1,701$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.85 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 53c | 1,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Spirit | 71c | 1,455$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.93 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,428$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.79 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Team Spirit | 44c | 1,353$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.41 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Falcons | 26c | 1,353$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.79 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 1,150$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.5 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Spirit | 20c | 1,018$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.25 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Team Falcons | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Spirit | 72c | 956.13$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Team Spirit | 51c | 927.17$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.17 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…3539backed Team Spirit | 50c | 899.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Team Falcons | 62c | 807.83$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Spirit | 50c | 789.97$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.95 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Team Spirit | 52c | 768.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.03 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Team Spirit | 23c | 677.65$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.97 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons | 34c | 667.79$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.82 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Falcons | 66c | 664.5$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.78 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 49c | 596.85$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.87 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Team Falcons | 70c | 589.99$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.97 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Spirit | 34c | 582.02$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.86 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Team Spirit | 50c | 544$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 42c | 543.24$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.82 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Falcons | 51c | 526$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.32 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 515.59$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.42 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Spirit | 34c | 511.41$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.86 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 489.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 489.25$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.07 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Spirit | 54c | 460.36$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.36 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 55c | 455$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.44 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons | 26c | 440.94$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Spirit | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Falcons | 79c | 414.72$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.98 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Team Spirit | 45c | 400.85$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.56 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…1cf4backed Team Spirit | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Falcons | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 397.9$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.91 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Team Falcons | 49c | 387.95$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.1 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Team Falcons | 57c | 387.73$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.01 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed Team Falcons | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Falcons | 51c | 382.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.32 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…da65backed Team Spirit | 53c | 380.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Team Spirit | 36c | 358.09$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.89 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 357.74$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.96 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Falcons | 58c | 351.08$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.63 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 48c | 350$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 340.8$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.21 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 331.06$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.46 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 330$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Spirit | 40c | 328.17$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.11 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x713c…b373backed Team Falcons | 63c | 321.09$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 62c | 314.74$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Team Spirit | 56c | 313.86$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.08 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Falcons | 39c | 312.64$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Falcons | 48c | 311.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…48a9backed Team Falcons | 42c | 310$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed70…4f63backed Team Falcons | 57c | 300.29$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Falcons | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Spirit | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Falcons | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Team Falcons | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Team Spirit | 77c | 242.87$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Falcons | 49c | 239.94$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.57 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed Team Falcons | 42c | 238.9$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Team Spirit | 79c | 206.03$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe186…c040backed Team Spirit | 40c | 202.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.35 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 200.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Team Falcons | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Falcons | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…5664backed Team Falcons | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Team Spirit | 48c | 199.65$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Falcons | 42c | 198.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 190.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Team Falcons | 36c | 187.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Team Spirit | 71c | 184.75$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Spirit | 43c | 181.31$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.55 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Falcons | 50c | 180.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 179.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Team Spirit | 53c | 151.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 148.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 147.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.