TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,844

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,844 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Under49c53,500$26,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,064.942653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under54c37,142$20,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,065.291643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over47c20,811$9,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,029.71060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over42c16,191$6,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,389.0352243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c13,095$6,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,404.5838247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under52c10,395$5,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,405.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8005635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over48c9,828$4,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,085.0770239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over53c7,707$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,606.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over73c5,220$3,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.051963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c4,519$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.393,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.983154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over49c3,850$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.861080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over51c3,500$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7151952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c3,414$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.622,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Over49c3,340$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over51c2,885$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.657354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over49c2,800$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,42833349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over72c2,759$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.131258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2255545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over51c2,395$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.555356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c2,075$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under27c2,002$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.9876941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0402245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over51c2,000$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.992240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51c8…3478backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under53c1,890$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.720132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over52c1,890$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.042050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under53c1,784$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.522552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Over53c1,697$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c1,577$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.6791950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73524655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Over51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7351060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over52c1,404$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.922356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.793050%15 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over51c965$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.8510554.3%57 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Over52c958.72$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.721643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7447…c413backed Over70c952.41$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over41c947.85$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+69.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under58c858.78$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over40c760.77$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.636330.2%19 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under48c750$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over52c699.99$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3365856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under46c660.8$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.971942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2451752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick46cpaid+63.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2459148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x333b…c557backed Under55c500$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Over53c480$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.62665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+69.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over52c476.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.321457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over48c459$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6818049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over70c429.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.572751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.672128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Under7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2890%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under47c399.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1884250%21 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over50c399.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.354151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over25c378.95$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.215540%22 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7030…195ebacked Over43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.84825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.53046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under52c312.5$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.515947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.031936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over52c300.44$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.451,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under5c300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick12cpaid+28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1599142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over48c291.67$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.672138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over51c286.99$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.638947.2%42 W · 47 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over33c257.42$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.471776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+51.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.514252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.512948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under48c240$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.212545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Over37c237.84$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.423154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Over51c222$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.784643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3317447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.334045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over53c207.55$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.555554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over48c201.4$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.732934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988250%41 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Under6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1270%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under47c198.05$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.082157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Over52c194.31$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.021346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under42c191.5$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2417249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over49c191.36$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.417550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeeab…276fbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8421…66d8backed Under47c188$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over51c184$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.165853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over51c175$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.758444%37 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over51c175$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.758046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over53c169.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.815554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7972…dce7backed Under48c169$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x109e…98d5backed Under47c167$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6997…06c1backed Under48c164$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over51c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.48056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under26c159.49$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6533522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over42c158.17$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7411536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.59444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under20c146.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1235944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.