Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdc6e56ce6c44a98c68b3f6ecac39ee8f5bebd719dbfc5cb7915216296868a49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,471 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 1,306$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.47 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 955.46$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.15 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 40c | 884$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.08 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 734.88$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.83 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Yes | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed No | 4c | 475$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…a4a1backed No | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed No | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f18…9aa7backed No | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 284.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.08 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 44c | 236.3$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked No | 57c | 215$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 42c | 201.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked No | 9c | 175.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 11c | 167.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…446cbacked No | 59c | 161.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…9827backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…5335backed Yes | 58c | 96.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 58c | 92.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed No | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 38c | 79.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 77.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 57c | 70.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…a2f1backed Yes | 54c | 55.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked No | 53c | 49.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes | 54c | 42.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 39.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 32c | 37.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe051…9ec5backed Yes | 55c | 30.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…3067backed Yes | 58c | 20.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3608…f911backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)FC Midtjylland won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)FC Midtjylland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.