MLB · resolved market
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Mexico
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa014cd78c7f534db3be45f2bd6ccc84b3f4130e5b6ce37c5b55b3f73cbf6e93f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USAof USA, Mexico
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $536,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $536,055 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mexico | 20c | 87,399$17,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,446.02 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Mexico | 20c | 84,543$16,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,571.79 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceec…4ad9backed Mexico | 21c | 48,110$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed USA | 80c | 36,708$29,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,358.6 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed USA | 80c | 29,955$23,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,991 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Mexico | 19c | 23,767$4,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,528.66 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked USA | 78c | 18,838$14,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.02 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Mexico | 21c | 18,766$3,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,886.99 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked USA | 78c | 16,344$12,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,595.67 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Mexico | 22c | 14,449$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245.41 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Mexico | 4c | 10,636$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65de…9846backed USA | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed USA | 80c | 7,740$6,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Mexico | 1c | 6,498$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7837…40f1backed USA | 80c | 4,420$3,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked USA | 78c | 4,284$3,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.26 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…ab03backed Mexico | 19c | 3,999$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mexico | 22c | 3,795$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.45 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mexico | 6c | 3,341$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.85 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Mexico | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.98 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed USA | 78c | 2,263$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc98…f222backed Mexico | 2c | 2,142$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Mexico | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed USA | 80c | 1,916$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Mexico | 19c | 1,886$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.18 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mexico | 3c | 1,872$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mexico | 19c | 1,653$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked USA | 79c | 1,505$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.04 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Mexico | 20c | 1,438$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.58 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Mexico | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked USA | 79c | 1,023$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.87 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed USA | 78c | 1,003$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.56 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Mexico | 6c | 997.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Mexico | 2c | 900$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 25cpaid | +187%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked USA | 78c | 897$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Mexico | 7c | 843.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Mexico | 19c | 795$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.64 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed USA | 75c | 789.69$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.3 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Mexico | 22c | 781.82$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Mexico | 2c | 627$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed USA | 80c | 625.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed USA | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed USA | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed USA | 79c | 568$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…c8ccbacked USA | 76c | 562.01$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.78 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Mexico | 18c | 558$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa78b…d26dbacked Mexico | 21c | 556.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Mexico | 4c | 526.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Mexico | 21c | 517.94$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.22 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mexico | 20c | 502.37$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed USA | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed USA | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Mexico | 20c | 499.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Mexico | 15c | 470.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Mexico | 23c | 448.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…ef0fbacked Mexico | 11c | 447.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked USA | 78c | 445.53$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked USA | 78c | 433.36$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Mexico | 20c | 382$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed USA | 79c | 380.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…bfaabacked Mexico | 13c | 378.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed USA | 80c | 376.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…e226backed Mexico | 13c | 319.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed USA | 79c | 313.42$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed USA | 74c | 302.31$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Mexico | 22c | 300.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 506 | 55.3%280 W · 226 L | +29.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…0c01backed Mexico | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +476.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Mexico | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed USA | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f74…4fccbacked Mexico | 20c | 299.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Mexico | 19c | 283.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…a38cbacked Mexico | 21c | 281.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb149…0a3dbacked Mexico | 21c | 260.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked USA | 76c | 260.62$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…1432backed USA | 78c | 257.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…f251backed USA | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Mexico | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed USA | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked USA | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked USA | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Mexico | 21c | 248.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed USA | 78c | 243.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Mexico | 20c | 235.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…5d34backed USA | 80c | 221.47$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Mexico | 23c | 218.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked USA | 80c | 216.38$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…6eafbacked USA | 77c | 202.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mexico | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed USA | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Mexico | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Mexico | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…d946backed USA | 80c | 190.34$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked USA | 80c | 174.25$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Mexico | 21c | 170.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed USA | 76c | 160.83$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…2a14backed Mexico | 21c | 158.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Mexico | 23c | 155.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked USA | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Mexico | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c23…c9ddbacked Mexico | 12c | 140.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.