Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6880c17f894783ba6140debfe730805b210ca2c587b265d35ef7976ebea1788

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $940,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $940,509 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 897 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0888…e6e3backed Yes	0c	51,000$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223	154	13%20 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	20c	44,294$8,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,836.38	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	23c	27,337$6,187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,187.22	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	17c	16,448$2,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,780.48	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	14c	16,302$2,278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,277.68	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	10c	15,150$1,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.26	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefdc…e19ebacked Yes	21c	15,047$3,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,199.46	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec7e…a915backed Yes	39c	14,523$5,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,609.86	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	29c	13,432$3,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,868.69	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	66c	12,662$8,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,300.99	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x63c5…6f61backed Yes	23c	10,071$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes	18c	10,000$1,813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,812.5	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b3…1e06backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	212	15.1%32 W · 180 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	9c	9,661$906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$906.02	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f72…664abacked Yes	17c	8,705$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+2.6wins	+0.15per pick	26cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	8c	8,205$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.53	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dab…e581backed Yes	16c	8,016$1,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,303.85	100	36%36 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	14c	7,989$1,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.17	124	9.7%12 W · 112 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	22c	7,877$1,721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,720.55	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Yes	2c	7,777$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.09	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	4c	7,691$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.93	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	4c	6,840$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.49	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	14c	6,688$928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.18	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	20c	6,610$1,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,323.56	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Yes	22c	6,290$1,397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,397.42	94	13.8%13 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	23c	6,158$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	67c	6,006$4,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,981.41	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	16c	6,000$983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$983.09	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	8c	5,709$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.1	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa657…00bfbacked Yes	37c	5,673$2,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,077.61	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	21c	5,210$1,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,119.11	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	5c	5,055$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa25a…3e8ebacked Yes	28c	5,009$1,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,398.57	63	12.7%8 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked Yes	39c	4,930$1,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,933.54	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	16c	4,860$768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768.16	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2511…5ae9backed Yes	16c	4,795$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748.1	65	13.8%9 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	9c	4,593$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.39	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	47c	4,559$2,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,153.09	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	11c	4,473$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.42	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9df…76c1backed Yes	29c	4,463$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,289.9	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	77c	4,426$3,397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029.66	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	5c	4,423$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.81	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	3c	4,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.26	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	14c	3,957$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.31	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b42…229ebacked Yes	14c	3,931$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.5	103	22.3%23 W · 80 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf70f…1b9abacked No	76c	3,873$2,941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$931.58	152	46.7%71 W · 81 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	13c	3,637$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.29	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	21c	3,538$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$727.99	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	19c	3,456$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.92	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	21c	3,409$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.9	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x760e…119ebacked Yes	25c	3,406$866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$865.68	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	3,300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	3,300$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x252f…bfc1backed Yes	43c	3,232$1,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,396	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	13c	3,227$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.52	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb614…2a44backed Yes	19c	3,176$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.68	113	39.8%45 W · 68 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	28c	3,147$891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$891.37	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	8c	3,119$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9558…68c3backed Yes	19c	3,093$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.54	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	19cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	59c	3,078$1,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,824.14	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6370…50a4backed Yes	60c	3,049$1,816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,816.18	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-4.8wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b33…efd0backed Yes	3c	2,934$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.46	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	48c	2,900$1,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,404.98	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	19c	2,864$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540.61	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	15c	2,823$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.92	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46a5…64ffbacked Yes	36c	2,684$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	5c	2,608$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.3	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x713b…f43cbacked Yes	36c	2,580$931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930.68	105	36.2%38 W · 67 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	36c	2,580$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.84	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bf0…133fbacked Yes	35c	2,500$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$867.23	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	6c	2,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	17c	2,477$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.89	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda64…b94cbacked Yes	21c	2,442$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.3	137	18.2%25 W · 112 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e6…b538backed Yes	14c	2,390$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.28	90	22.2%20 W · 70 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f8…bfa5backed Yes	14c	2,373$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.35	96	26%25 W · 71 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	19c	2,358$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.24	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	19c	2,341$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.78	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	8c	2,270$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.07	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes	17c	2,220$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.45	154	30.5%47 W · 107 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes	25c	2,206$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.13	177	28.2%50 W · 127 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	7c	2,205$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.76	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x850a…90d6backed Yes	1c	2,172$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.65	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	15c	2,161$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.37	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes	24c	2,147$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.3	62	22.6%14 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	6c	2,119$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	19c	2,111$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.7	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Yes	27c	2,110$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.42	85	45.9%39 W · 46 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae2…0ddebacked Yes	19c	2,073$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.74	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+3.6wins	+0.19per pick	23cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	7c	2,052$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.35	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	2c	2,032$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	18c	2,000$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.75	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	3c	2,000$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	10c	2,000$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	12c	1,979$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.87	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	8c	1,979$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.06	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	23c	1,949$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.3	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	16c	1,928$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6911…ede3backed Yes	12c	1,906$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.17	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	16cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event