Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa46064d44be135d2c0967d78a644977814756afda3b9a1820c4c2829a6ce53ae

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $175,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,359 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	18,419$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.31	71	0%0 W · 71 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61a5…f8d1backed Yes	1c	15,176$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25c2…08c7backed Yes	2c	14,400$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.4	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca6…0ae3backed Yes	0c	14,069$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.21	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+15.8wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	11,439$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.3	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	10,650$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.18	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	0c	9,011$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.1	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdc1…3058backed Yes	0c	8,757$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.03	93	38.7%36 W · 57 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	10c	5,908$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.62	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	6c	3,608$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.26	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	8c	2,737$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.21	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3cb…ef82backed Yes	8c	2,010$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.9	89	16.9%15 W · 74 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+85.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92ad…c78fbacked Yes	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.87	79	7.6%6 W · 73 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	1,863$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.48	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	5c	1,861$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.17	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f2…1362backed Yes	10c	1,834$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.76	48	10.4%5 W · 43 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	1c	1,818$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.02	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	5c	1,745$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.13	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda64…b94cbacked Yes	11c	1,675$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.89	137	18.2%25 W · 112 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	8c	1,551$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.45	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b3c…ff9abacked Yes	11c	1,327$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.02	87	12.6%11 W · 76 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	10c	1,173$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.53	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	10c	1,042$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2959…bdf1backed Yes	10c	1,031$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.38	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb233…8b03backed Yes	11c	1,017$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4243…47a8backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes	10c	970$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	5c	967.88$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.6	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	10c	963.88$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.03	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	8c	956.42$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.79	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb803…5ae5backed Yes	5c	902.46$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6a…7155backed Yes	11c	893.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	100	13%13 W · 87 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4665…7947backed Yes	11c	889$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	827.58$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a19…c9d9backed Yes	12c	819.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-74.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5047backed Yes	3c	792.16$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.52	156	5.8%9 W · 147 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+58%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	2c	755.76$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.09	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	9c	700$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e9a…5f9cbacked Yes	11c	642.68$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd31c…7424backed Yes	9c	600$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	44	6.8%3 W · 41 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-32%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f73…b38dbacked Yes	10c	599.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd4f…54e2backed Yes	9c	544.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdea3…1b1abacked Yes	11c	539.58$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.56	51	15.7%8 W · 43 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	3c	500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	226	10.6%24 W · 202 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c19…f4b7backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd832…19b7backed Yes	3c	488.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.37	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	484.42$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.47	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	12c	426.12$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	6c	408.4$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6eaf…977ebacked Yes	7c	390.91$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.24	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	+86.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f73…dbfbbacked Yes	11c	366.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2b…6a52backed Yes	3c	355.44$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75b2…e7ecbacked Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	52	17.3%9 W · 43 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed Yes	3c	300$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c6…5587backed Yes	9c	300$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf841…2ba5backed Yes	12c	257.87$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	150	21.3%32 W · 118 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf128…d2ffbacked Yes	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	9cpaid	+176.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1564…cda3backed Yes	11c	219.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b01…24a9backed Yes	10c	206.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Yes	10c	202.02$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	145	28.3%41 W · 104 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x313e…8c64backed Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2b…2878backed Yes	10c	200$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fed…f789backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes	6c	193.78$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	+3.9wins	+0.13per pick	7cpaid	+109.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	11c	185$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.35	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa248…7c87backed Yes	13c	184.29$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a44…0196backed Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa309…8427backed Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0067…446fbacked Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	9.4%5 W · 48 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6933…0f16backed Yes	10c	152.34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	475	10.5%50 W · 425 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e7e…61c0backed Yes	8c	150$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	97	10.3%10 W · 87 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c34…c484backed Yes	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4986…6996backed Yes	10c	133.47$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	141	24.1%34 W · 107 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda5b…5facbacked Yes	12c	131.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5b…7dc6backed Yes	9c	120.61$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.35	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.17per pick	23cpaid	+67.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3619…4b14backed Yes	13c	115.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86c4…0d44backed Yes	11c	113.33$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bdc…c3d1backed Yes	11c	110$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e07…36a9backed Yes	12c	108.33$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdef…5312backed Yes	12c	108.33$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x540a…41aebacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf669…98a5backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e6f…522bbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x798f…cef0backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	430	17%73 W · 357 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa1…ea67backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-34%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3986…0c06backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+90%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f29…8638backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65ab…273dbacked Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	204	32.4%66 W · 138 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ba3…33e0backed Yes	12c	93.58$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.23	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+5.7wins	+0.14per pick	32cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x24c9…dfbfbacked Yes	12c	90.08$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.81	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-37%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x406c…ec46backed Yes	12c	90$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	100	13%13 W · 87 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event