Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76eef5d837078ff0a5a1e86b85e62f7408705e8e786e29587efeba9cd1ad4fe0

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $826,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $826,876 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 594 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	93,448$4,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,396.48	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ef1…352ebacked Yes	0c	44,910$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	29,738$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.72	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	2c	23,666$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.27	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	1c	17,024$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.1	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	12c	15,764$1,867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,867.11	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	3c	14,586$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.72	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5aa…35b2backed Yes	0c	14,333$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	3c	14,160$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.1	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	7c	12,200$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$852.48	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c7…6fa8backed Yes	0c	12,010$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9558…68c3backed Yes	4c	10,556$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.72	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	19cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	2c	10,025$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.64	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes	3c	10,000$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.42	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	8c	9,701$804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803.83	124	9.7%12 W · 112 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	1c	8,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	12c	7,882$914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$913.52	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	10c	7,845$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$809.29	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	3c	7,519$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.83	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdff3…7737backed Yes	5c	7,519$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.1	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	13c	7,474$953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$953.44	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes	2c	7,323$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.27	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	+139.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x850a…90d6backed Yes	1c	6,713$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	11c	6,514$724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$724.37	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	12c	6,268$783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$782.59	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	15c	6,042$934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$934.31	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a8…5c27backed Yes	8c	4,715$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	4c	4,704$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.63	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	0c	4,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	4,351$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.71	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	3c	4,295$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.87	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9df…76c1backed Yes	6c	4,236$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.45	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes	5c	4,089$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.01	123	8.9%11 W · 112 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+54%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	6c	4,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	4c	3,970$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.01	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	15c	3,878$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	8c	3,825$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.64	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	6c	3,730$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.7	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9565…93efbacked Yes	3c	3,657$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.33	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dec…cefabacked Yes	22c	3,454$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.86	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d3…acf8backed Yes	3c	3,437$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.5	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	3,277$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.88	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7596…cd25backed Yes	2c	3,235$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	11c	3,180$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.12	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92ad…c78fbacked Yes	5c	3,173$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.75	79	7.6%6 W · 73 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	16c	3,161$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.84	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	14c	3,100$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.97	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	9c	3,080$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes	10c	3,058$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.35	158	19%30 W · 128 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa9…4727backed Yes	2c	3,000$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b3…1e06backed Yes	2c	3,000$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	212	15.1%32 W · 180 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63c5…6f61backed Yes	32c	2,994$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	12c	2,979$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.93	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	14c	2,975$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.17	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x522a…096dbacked Yes	7c	2,968$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	13c	2,960$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.42	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	4c	2,898$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.38	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	23c	2,894$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.28	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	9c	2,744$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.76	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	14c	2,715$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.42	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	76c	2,711$2,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$654.32	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	5c	2,671$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.65	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	6c	2,663$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.1	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Yes	12c	2,571$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.58	94	13.8%13 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	12c	2,527$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.86	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f0…529ebacked Yes	13c	2,500$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	12c	2,418$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.59	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	80c	2,418$1,934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.24	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	16c	2,400$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.8	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa4…9a1cbacked Yes	13c	2,368$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.04	95	8.4%8 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	4c	2,333$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac28…0d06backed Yes	2c	2,333$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.55	93	7.5%7 W · 86 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-51%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6552…b256backed Yes	5c	2,311$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.1	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes	31c	2,279$703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$702.74	250	23.2%58 W · 192 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09c…472ebacked Yes	2c	2,250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2000…6275backed Yes	4c	2,210$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.83	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	10c	2,200$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.99	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	11c	2,171$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.98	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb104…10c9backed Yes	4c	2,167$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.45	50	24%12 W · 38 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes	1c	2,071$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	5c	2,040$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.17	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	4c	2,000$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.49	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	6c	2,000$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.33	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0888…e6e3backed Yes	2c	2,000$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	154	13%20 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9057…c12cbacked Yes	2c	2,000$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.9	124	24.2%30 W · 94 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	15cpaid	+100.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	3c	1,992$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.56	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…fca7backed Yes	8c	1,917$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	82	13.4%11 W · 71 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8fb…3d55backed Yes	11c	1,831$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.62	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x885f…7bf9backed Yes	12c	1,831$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.34	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe00b…d25fbacked Yes	5c	1,830$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8007…a8f4backed No	76c	1,820$1,391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.8	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6911…ede3backed Yes	9c	1,813$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.03	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	16cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	5c	1,764$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.48	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf1e9…6105backed Yes	2c	1,751$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes	34c	1,734$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.85	210	34.8%73 W · 137 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f2…1362backed Yes	7c	1,710$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.42	48	10.4%5 W · 43 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	5c	1,694$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.7	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3807…6ceebacked Yes	3c	1,674$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44d…79aabacked Yes	33c	1,603$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event