Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c26d8b2be1b6233f539951131438ff7de52cb9095dc9c1a1e1420a84b2fb6c0

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $580,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $580,462 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8cea…4ae1backed Yes	0c	48,939$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa128…541ebacked Yes	1c	48,089$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.07	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	36,267$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.57	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes	0c	30,378$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.38	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Yes	0c	28,177$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.18	54	0%0 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c0…fad2backed Yes	0c	28,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	47	0%0 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Yes	0c	27,204$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	129	0.8%1 W · 128 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+675.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0914…9c93backed Yes	0c	24,310$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.31	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3a…b59ebacked Yes	0c	20,064$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.37	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Yes	0c	19,409$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.84	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9379…37f8backed Yes	0c	16,946$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	14,061$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.51	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed Yes	0c	13,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6552…b256backed Yes	0c	12,630$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.9	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	12,043$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.08	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb201…f87ebacked Yes	0c	8,856$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	6,447$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.65	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ca6…0ae3backed Yes	0c	5,499$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+15.8wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x108f…a423backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e39…dfd9backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-68%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	4,958$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.42	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	10c	4,082$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.94	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	8c	4,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	9c	3,780$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.39	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	4c	3,737$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.67	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	3,087$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.01	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92ad…c78fbacked Yes	3c	2,945$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.01	79	7.6%6 W · 73 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c34…8f4abacked Yes	5c	2,704$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-48%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed Yes	7c	2,590$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.12	102	7.8%8 W · 94 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf804…8028backed Yes	4c	2,574$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.32	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	9c	2,473$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.58	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	9c	2,200$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8fb…3d55backed Yes	5c	2,128$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes	11c	1,772$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	1,583$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.32	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22c3…b145backed Yes	3c	1,550$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.9	64	14.1%9 W · 55 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	10c	1,514$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.38	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f2…1362backed Yes	10c	1,500$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.12	48	10.4%5 W · 43 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	4c	1,425$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.14	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	2c	1,390$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.1	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	5c	1,306$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.51	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	5c	1,304$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d0f…bea9backed Yes	2c	1,250$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.05	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	1,214$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.21	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	1c	1,200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	6c	1,179$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.35	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	6c	1,156$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.6	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	5c	1,133$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.02	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x637f…554bbacked Yes	7c	1,123$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2959…bdf1backed Yes	11c	1,110$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.1	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	7c	1,107$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.56	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95cd…62d6backed Yes	9c	1,100$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	1,000$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	7c	998.42$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.83	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x969c…1039backed Yes	11c	933.35$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	15%6 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	11c	880.63$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	7c	869.51$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.29	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	7c	864.72$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.25	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67c4…4622backed Yes	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	5c	800$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.67	296	10.5%31 W · 265 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45c2…3c8fbacked Yes	3c	790$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	6c	782.2$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.62	124	9.7%12 W · 112 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bfb…64f1backed Yes	2c	740$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.06	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb29…ea70backed Yes	2c	694.36$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.89	50	6%3 W · 47 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4665…7947backed Yes	10c	667.03$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9314…6bd7backed Yes	8c	655.74$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.92	247	10.9%27 W · 220 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	10c	655.56$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa932…79a6backed Yes	3c	600$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.15	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	10c	600$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.47	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	8c	600$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f73…b38dbacked Yes	8c	599.99$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	2c	568.17$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.76	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f19…c7e9backed Yes	4c	565.15$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdff1…8a54backed Yes	2c	556.57$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x117f…4a20backed Yes	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	68	8.8%6 W · 62 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+70.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	3c	551.57$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.29	102	16.7%17 W · 85 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	11c	537.56$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.13	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	8c	519.85$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e7…4a56backed Yes	2c	511.27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4142…79e6backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	4c	499.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	4c	450.39$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.99	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c34…c484backed Yes	10c	443.95$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	12c	437.08$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.45	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a20…281abacked Yes	4c	423$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.07	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	11c	400$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c57…010dbacked Yes	3c	399.91$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd41…2b3dbacked Yes	4c	395$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…f1d0backed Yes	4c	395$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8aa…5c9ebacked Yes	11c	363.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2650…d55fbacked Yes	4c	353$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	7c	347.24$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.01	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9db…4048backed Yes	6c	338.85$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event