Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3042445b9228165e30588c9385872e3320ddc1dc370fb551f33269fa45dca43a

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $204,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,607 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2693…b604backed Yes	0c	69,588$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	0c	15,231$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.8	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x544b…a308backed Yes	0c	11,900$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	10,665$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	71	0%0 W · 71 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ca6…0ae3backed Yes	0c	10,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+15.8wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	8,895$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.55	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	7,107$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.44	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes	0c	5,686$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.78	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	+139.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	9c	5,450$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.57	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	4,036$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	8c	4,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	11c	3,800$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.57	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…e564backed Yes	14c	3,247$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.42	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,653$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.73	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cca…f402backed Yes	12c	2,577$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.65	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	9c	2,515$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.29	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	2,475$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.99	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	5c	2,246$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.89	124	9.7%12 W · 112 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	2,154$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.86	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	7c	1,959$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.31	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes	1c	1,888$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.01	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	+3.9wins	+0.13per pick	7cpaid	+109.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f2…1362backed Yes	11c	1,791$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.25	48	10.4%5 W · 43 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	1c	1,624$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.11	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdea3…1b1abacked Yes	3c	1,623$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.09	51	15.7%8 W · 43 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6926…1336backed Yes	13c	1,513$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.42	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	7c	1,475$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.94	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	1,474$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.75	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c57…010dbacked Yes	1c	1,474$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef4…615dbacked Yes	4c	1,320$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.8	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	12c	1,303$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.72	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	7c	1,274$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.92	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2959…bdf1backed Yes	10c	1,272$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.92	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	1c	1,125$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	1c	1,100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.09	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	13c	1,034$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	4c	1,003$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.9	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4243…47a8backed Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	11c	999.99$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4665…7947backed Yes	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5047backed Yes	3c	844.02$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.23	156	5.8%9 W · 147 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+58%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	4c	817.55$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.86	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	9c	800$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7022…cfbdbacked Yes	13c	764.65$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.17per pick	19cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	5c	720.32$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.29	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	10c	693.97$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.17	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	8c	600$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f73…b38dbacked Yes	8c	599.97$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.24	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	4c	591.3$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	5c	539.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.31	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f73…dbfbbacked Yes	5c	536.65$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c19…f4b7backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x741e…9b87backed Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd31c…7424backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	44	6.8%3 W · 41 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-32%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd4f…54e2backed Yes	11c	463.64$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b3c…ff9abacked Yes	9c	439.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.65	87	12.6%11 W · 76 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	6c	400$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.25	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	6c	384.47$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.25	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	3c	381.66$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	296	10.5%31 W · 265 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	4c	380.85$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.88	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75b2…e7ecbacked Yes	11c	363.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	52	17.3%9 W · 43 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43af…7923backed Yes	3c	362.28$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	12cpaid	-85.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb233…8b03backed Yes	12c	361.88$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.89	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	5c	360$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.44	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ada…9cc2backed Yes	9c	350.94$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcccd…1c5ebacked Yes	10c	299.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	45	15.6%7 W · 38 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1735…0319backed Yes	5c	288.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.94	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a1f…d43cbacked Yes	9c	279.69$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	57	10.5%6 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf128…d2ffbacked Yes	9c	277.78$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	9cpaid	+176.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c34…c484backed Yes	11c	272.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	6c	268.89$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.06	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd182…941ebacked Yes	6c	240$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.32	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-38%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa248…7c87backed Yes	11c	239.91$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.39	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf841…2ba5backed Yes	12c	213.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	150	21.3%32 W · 118 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f91…59c8backed Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+59.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed Yes	6c	180$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d72…8e62backed Yes	6c	170.41$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.22	52	1.9%1 W · 51 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	8cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a44…0196backed Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa309…8427backed Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0067…446fbacked Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	9.4%5 W · 48 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e7e…61c0backed Yes	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	97	10.3%10 W · 87 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	11c	150$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.75	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f74…411abacked Yes	11c	145.27$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.98	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4986…6996backed Yes	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	141	24.1%34 W · 107 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67eb…a86bbacked Yes	10c	134.85$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.71	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+89.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	9c	122.12$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.04	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbeb0…df38backed Yes	9c	117.64$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.59	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3619…4b14backed Yes	13c	115.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bdc…c3d1backed Yes	11c	110$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c9…dfbfbacked Yes	12c	107.67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.92	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-37%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x406c…ec46backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.86	100	13%13 W · 87 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b03…b766backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	106	23.6%25 W · 81 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e6f…522bbacked Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b2e…41eabacked Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	136	14.7%20 W · 116 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53f0…4131backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event