Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea70a186c8be53fa1617cd7479d0df655177c5cf7cea1f0e2a874612eeffe22e

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $232,249

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,249 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	16,091$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.67	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	8,004$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.67	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	5c	5,849$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.36	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a4a…4b36backed Yes	12c	5,514$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d9…fb26backed Yes	1c	4,169$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	10c	4,001$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.6	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	8c	4,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a9…b30ebacked Yes	1c	3,812$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	6c	3,721$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.76	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25c2…08c7backed Yes	4c	3,039$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.08	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	3,010$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.62	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba4…7377backed Yes	2c	2,985$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2232…a538backed Yes	2c	2,985$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes	2c	2,942$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.01	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	+139.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	2,844$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.44	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	10c	2,619$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.52	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd818…f432backed Yes	1c	2,523$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a5…849dbacked Yes	1c	2,503$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	2,332$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.05	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	6c	2,281$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.53	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	6c	2,252$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.8	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	7c	1,968$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.47	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa042…397abacked Yes	1c	1,801$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	1c	1,800$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	6c	1,724$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.77	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f2…1362backed Yes	11c	1,375$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.75	48	10.4%5 W · 43 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92ad…c78fbacked Yes	2c	1,365$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.17	79	7.6%6 W · 73 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	1,337$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.55	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	10c	1,325$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.05	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2959…bdf1backed Yes	12c	1,320$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.22	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	6c	1,243$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.35	124	9.7%12 W · 112 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d32…47f5backed Yes	1c	1,214$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	1,213$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	7c	1,212$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.5	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	4c	1,089$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	2c	1,050$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.85	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	12c	1,037$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	1,002$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.32	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes	11c	1,001$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.53	250	23.2%58 W · 192 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	6c	995.17$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.58	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc595…df4cbacked Yes	2c	989.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5047backed Yes	4c	983.34$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.22	156	5.8%9 W · 147 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+58%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	8c	980.42$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.64	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	10c	924.13$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.41	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	7c	919$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.01	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71a1…19e7backed Yes	9c	833.11$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.98	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	8c	808.59$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.77	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	789.63$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.63	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x637f…554bbacked Yes	3c	778.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e84…8f7bbacked Yes	2c	764.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	2c	719.06$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.59	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb29…ea70backed Yes	1c	698.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	50	6%3 W · 47 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	2c	604.25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.21	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x666a…4bf0backed Yes	8c	600$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	181	7.7%14 W · 167 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f73…b38dbacked Yes	8c	599.97$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b6…90a8backed Yes	10c	598.28$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	53	13.2%7 W · 46 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdea3…1b1abacked Yes	2c	586.48$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.36	51	15.7%8 W · 43 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9314…6bd7backed Yes	8c	563.38$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.37	247	10.9%27 W · 220 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	8c	552.04$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.64	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0db6…7a21backed Yes	2c	530.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.68	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71b0…dddfbacked Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x741e…9b87backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	7c	500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	226	10.6%24 W · 202 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	7c	492.22$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.14	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3132…cae8backed Yes	11c	487.18$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	6c	399.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.16	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	7c	385.13$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.31	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	8c	377.79$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.08	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3bb…9107backed Yes	8c	375$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	110	14.5%16 W · 94 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c34…c484backed Yes	9c	316.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	8c	305.71$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.46	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	11c	304.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.55	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcccd…1c5ebacked Yes	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	45	15.6%7 W · 38 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe380…70e2backed Yes	6c	293.05$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.86	61	8.2%5 W · 56 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	4c	284.52$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0dd…f987backed Yes	11c	280.9$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.9	89	15.7%14 W · 75 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b2…e7ecbacked Yes	10c	270$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	52	17.3%9 W · 43 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b3c…ff9abacked Yes	11c	265.48$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.3	87	12.6%11 W · 76 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf40c…7d39backed Yes	9c	220$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	12c	212.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e50…98f0backed Yes	9c	208.57$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.69	330	27.9%92 W · 238 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	11c	200$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x010c…6134backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	129	14.7%19 W · 110 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ef…12ffbacked Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d32…b3c5backed Yes	11c	199.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	88	19.3%17 W · 71 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa309…8427backed Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4142…79e6backed Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa248…7c87backed Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c4…0d44backed Yes	10c	154.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.81	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8aa…5c9ebacked Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dab…e581backed Yes	8c	153.11$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	100	36%36 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e7e…61c0backed Yes	8c	150$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	97	10.3%10 W · 87 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf841…2ba5backed Yes	12c	129.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	150	21.3%32 W · 118 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a9…c6ffbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbeb0…df38backed Yes	9c	125$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.69	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b92…efefbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event