Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x798aebd45796176dfe68a0ead01a68976c83c4cd5bee29bd9b93de20a819ee17

Rebuilt 20 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $802,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $802,651 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	0c	41,127$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.01	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	38,747$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.17	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	17,884$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.65	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cea…4ae1backed Yes	1c	16,692$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	2c	15,562$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.16	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x522a…096dbacked Yes	2c	14,328$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc116…d072backed Yes	1c	13,884$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6f2…60fabacked Yes	3c	12,233$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.6	80	8.8%7 W · 73 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-41%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	10,963$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.41	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5273…16debacked Yes	1c	10,081$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.08	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df2…01afbacked Yes	0c	10,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	9,880$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.28	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00b…d25fbacked Yes	1c	9,546$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.72	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	2c	9,518$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.93	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9379…37f8backed Yes	1c	9,181$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	3c	9,040$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.75	124	9.7%12 W · 112 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb461…55ecbacked Yes	2c	8,523$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9df…76c1backed Yes	1c	8,454$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.87	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	0c	8,085$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.09	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9558…68c3backed Yes	2c	8,025$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.85	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	19cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	4c	7,867$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca6…0ae3backed Yes	0c	7,499$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.49	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+15.8wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6941…d614backed Yes	1c	7,254$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.73	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	0c	6,917$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.92	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2863…91fbbacked Yes	1c	6,803$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	1c	6,373$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4193…7a48backed Yes	0c	5,405$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…c781backed Yes	2c	5,214$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	1c	5,115$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.48	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes	3c	5,036$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.26	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a8f…af23backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa490…bf7ebacked Yes	1c	4,904$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	59	10.2%6 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	5c	4,700$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.99	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	5c	4,575$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.68	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Yes	0c	4,360$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.39	251	27.1%68 W · 183 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	8c	4,305$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.63	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb201…f87ebacked Yes	0c	4,240$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes	0c	4,084$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.21	332	31%103 W · 229 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	8c	4,000$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.03	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…f05dbacked Yes	1c	3,610$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.25	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	4c	3,528$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.67	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae2…0ddebacked Yes	0c	3,374$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+3.6wins	+0.19per pick	23cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0352…1d05backed Yes	1c	3,090$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.52	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	2c	3,085$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.3	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22c3…b145backed Yes	1c	3,070$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.19	64	14.1%9 W · 55 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ab6…6099backed Yes	3c	3,051$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	67	28.4%19 W · 48 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	9c	3,046$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.6	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	8c	3,038$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.27	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	2c	3,000$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.59	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf19…b9eabacked Yes	0c	2,970$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	2c	2,780$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.03	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6552…b256backed Yes	1c	2,706$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49de…5d47backed Yes	1c	2,702$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	13c	2,652$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.75	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	2c	2,646$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	2,632$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.67	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed Yes	1c	2,582$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.97	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	6c	2,570$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.9	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	2c	2,551$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.55	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	3c	2,544$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x918a…aa22backed Yes	3c	2,537$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.43	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	9c	2,500$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.27	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd16…649cbacked Yes	2c	2,477$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.96	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x184d…bc42backed Yes	3c	2,396$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.13per pick	12cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	4c	2,347$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.25	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	5c	2,346$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.43	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	2c	2,335$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.52	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Yes	0c	2,314$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa224…5c97backed Yes	2c	2,226$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes	1c	2,222$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.15	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014b…243bbacked Yes	3c	2,221$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	8cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	1c	2,200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	9c	2,200$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes	7c	2,151$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.25	123	8.9%11 W · 112 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+54%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	0c	2,119$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8fb…3d55backed Yes	6c	2,100$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe579…7326backed Yes	2c	2,070$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-55%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb104…10c9backed Yes	1c	2,070$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.54	50	24%12 W · 38 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	2,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.87	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc750…31bfbacked Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986a…4a34backed Yes	3c	1,953$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	8c	1,950$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	2c	1,924$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.57	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	2c	1,920$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.66	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	1c	1,900$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	5c	1,839$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	1c	1,800$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	2c	1,734$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.85	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31af…0f94backed Yes	1c	1,694$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	1c	1,669$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25f3…0a98backed Yes	8c	1,667$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.65	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	2c	1,653$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	+9.3wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	2c	1,587$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92ad…c78fbacked Yes	3c	1,520$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.38	79	7.6%6 W · 73 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	3c	1,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	10c	1,421$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.77	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	8c	1,344$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.92	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Yes	2c	1,336$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.65	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a8…58e7backed Yes	1c	1,330$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event