Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef4899c91119e2be990ed53a0a64383527d232fcb85a0eecab9bbf93f4610c49

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $672,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $672,040 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	2c	31,379$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.68	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	3c	26,400$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803.3	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	1c	20,545$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.28	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	3c	18,492$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$643.08	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	7c	18,163$1,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,354.98	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c2…08c7backed Yes	2c	17,700$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.11	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x184d…bc42backed Yes	4c	14,418$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.12	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.13per pick	12cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	14,383$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.56	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	10c	12,880$1,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,329.61	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	7c	11,388$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.75	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	6c	11,125$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.22	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Yes	3c	10,664$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.33	105	42.9%45 W · 60 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	5c	10,590$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.61	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	0c	10,140$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x522a…096dbacked Yes	3c	8,734$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	4c	8,000$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.88	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51bf…01cbbacked Yes	2c	7,564$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.6	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	+85.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	9c	7,382$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.72	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa25a…3e8ebacked Yes	4c	7,082$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.74	63	12.7%8 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	9c	6,568$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.84	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9df…76c1backed Yes	3c	6,187$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.8	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa4…9a1cbacked Yes	6c	6,156$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.77	95	8.4%8 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes	7c	5,970$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.89	123	8.9%11 W · 112 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+54%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	6c	5,527$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.68	124	9.7%12 W · 112 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca6…0ae3backed Yes	1c	5,503$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.26	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+15.8wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dec…cefabacked Yes	5c	5,423$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.4	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	9c	5,248$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.75	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	4c	5,165$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.26	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	10c	5,013$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.89	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e3e…2b09backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x014b…243bbacked Yes	1c	4,663$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	8cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	10c	4,562$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.14	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf70f…1b9abacked Yes	5c	4,534$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.55	152	46.7%71 W · 81 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes	15c	4,449$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.17	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	6c	4,426$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.52	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49de…5d47backed Yes	4c	4,273$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.28	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	8c	4,247$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.34	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb461…55ecbacked Yes	2c	4,074$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe00b…d25fbacked Yes	4c	4,063$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.91	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4295…5b86backed Yes	3c	4,044$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.41	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.31per pick	40cpaid	+72.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	13c	4,000$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.34	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	7c	3,868$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.24	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	8c	3,654$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa583…efa0backed Yes	3c	3,653$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.59	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	3c	3,539$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8fb…3d55backed Yes	7c	3,530$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.19	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f0…529ebacked Yes	6c	3,396$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.49	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	12c	3,379$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.66	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	8c	3,233$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.52	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8755…e152backed Yes	4c	3,212$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.74	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…45d7backed Yes	14c	3,173$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.51	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	77c	3,136$2,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.74	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81c6…ee28backed Yes	1c	3,128$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	11c	3,081$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.48	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92ad…c78fbacked Yes	5c	3,032$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.91	79	7.6%6 W · 73 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	2c	3,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b42…229ebacked Yes	2c	2,944$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.53	103	22.3%23 W · 80 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbc0…a438backed Yes	1c	2,900$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	2,873$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.59	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6f2…60fabacked Yes	6c	2,786$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.56	80	8.8%7 W · 73 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-41%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54cc…a28fbacked Yes	2c	2,678$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.93	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	10c	2,667$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.81	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x539e…3ccebacked Yes	1c	2,648$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.06	125	14.4%18 W · 107 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Yes	8c	2,581$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.29	94	13.8%13 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdae2…0ddebacked Yes	4c	2,564$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+3.6wins	+0.19per pick	23cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	2c	2,560$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.85	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	12c	2,445$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.19	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	2,435$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.94	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac6…8d88backed Yes	6c	2,419$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.5	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	10c	2,300$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.53	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	2c	2,300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.8	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	9c	2,200$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	413	10.7%44 W · 369 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	10c	2,190$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.78	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	7c	2,161$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.93	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…e564backed Yes	22c	2,140$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes	15c	2,048$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2434…05eabacked Yes	1c	2,004$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.05	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	+5.8wins	+0.14per pick	12cpaid	+188.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes	7c	2,000$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	230	19.1%44 W · 186 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	4c	2,000$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.81	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	1c	2,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	5c	2,000$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.57	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6487…d3a0backed Yes	2c	1,950$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.79	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c34…8f4abacked Yes	10c	1,932$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-48%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	2c	1,877$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.55	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6911…ede3backed Yes	11c	1,816$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.76	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	16cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	3c	1,793$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	7c	1,767$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	4c	1,716$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.63	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9558…68c3backed Yes	2c	1,700$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.51	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	19cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	1c	1,700$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.1	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93c6…1a04backed Yes	2c	1,686$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44d…79aabacked Yes	20c	1,600$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.96	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	13c	1,562$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.83	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	1c	1,540$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.66	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f3…0a98backed Yes	9c	1,521$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.62	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	5c	1,508$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.19	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06af…7f35backed Yes	2c	1,503$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.91	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+61.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	5c	1,500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event