Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23182cf066e5f6e63579c6928ee496f24b19cf2ac9da701b2539fe7e220e05bd

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,190,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,190,768 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 986 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	18c	48,910$8,756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,755.76	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	25c	29,068$7,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,244.48	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb19…9a2abacked Yes	1c	23,720$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.3	68	25%17 W · 51 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	10c	23,557$2,416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,415.69	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	25c	21,646$5,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,477.91	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes	27c	17,500$4,724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,724.31	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	16c	16,355$2,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,641.74	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	25c	10,860$2,761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,760.57	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	19c	10,500$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,949.59	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	21c	10,475$2,191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,190.57	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	26c	9,483$2,482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,481.95	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	18c	9,000$1,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,629	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	4c	8,890$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.32	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	17c	8,713$1,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,498.04	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	76c	8,580$6,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,087.13	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	17c	8,041$1,383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,382.8	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	14c	7,815$1,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.87	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	3c	7,756$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	5c	7,437$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.61	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes	16c	7,130$1,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,118.09	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	19c	7,087$1,329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,328.79	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…38e2backed Yes	1c	6,458$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.89	191	18.8%36 W · 155 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	21c	6,429$1,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,377.79	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63c5…6f61backed Yes	17c	5,990$1,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecb…a693backed Yes	1c	5,716$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.15	122	4.9%6 W · 116 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+213.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Yes	19c	5,547$1,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,034.81	94	13.8%13 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	21c	5,526$1,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,183.23	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	13c	5,428$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.27	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa657…00bfbacked Yes	3c	5,391$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.57	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdc…e19ebacked Yes	19c	5,296$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	13c	5,166$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.35	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9df…76c1backed Yes	16c	5,095$818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$817.91	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb9…6f7abacked No	80c	5,092$4,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,035.83	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	5c	5,062$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	76c	4,996$3,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,193.71	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	9c	4,903$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.55	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	11c	4,895$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.01	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	10c	4,611$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.72	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes	11c	4,527$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.7	158	19%30 W · 128 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	4,494$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.78	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes	1c	4,448$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	9c	4,393$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.49	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	+9.3wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	11c	4,355$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.56	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01a4…4967backed No	78c	4,224$3,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$919.44	160	56.9%91 W · 69 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf70f…1b9abacked No	78c	4,100$3,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900.87	152	46.7%71 W · 81 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d3…8e8fbacked Yes	18c	4,085$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721.52	131	16.8%22 W · 109 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+57.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	22c	4,069$909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.33	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	16c	4,000$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.9	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	4c	4,000$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.95	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	21c	3,868$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$793.44	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	14c	3,830$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.78	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	13c	3,820$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.75	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed No	80c	3,785$3,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$771.63	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	16c	3,717$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.08	124	9.7%12 W · 112 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	14c	3,687$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.22	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	75c	3,618$2,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$890.87	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	78c	3,442$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$742.06	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	75c	3,226$2,424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801.2	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b69…16d4backed No	76c	3,224$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$773.57	223	27.8%62 W · 161 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8fb…3d55backed Yes	16c	3,190$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.75	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	15c	3,147$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.03	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2eb…83b2backed Yes	2c	3,146$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3cb…ef82backed Yes	6c	3,129$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.67	89	16.9%15 W · 74 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+85.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38b3…1e06backed Yes	10c	3,100$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296	212	15.1%32 W · 180 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec7e…a915backed Yes	12c	3,071$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.87	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	79c	2,998$2,358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640.35	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	23c	2,963$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.21	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f3…0a98backed Yes	10c	2,773$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.22	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	18c	2,757$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.13	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	8c	2,754$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.29	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9558…68c3backed Yes	24c	2,714$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$652.83	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	19cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6911…ede3backed Yes	11c	2,692$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.27	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	16cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93c4…7599backed Yes	20c	2,673$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.47	230	17%39 W · 191 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	22c	2,659$572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.37	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	26c	2,628$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.18	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	16c	2,600$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.46	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4a…4896backed Yes	22c	2,560$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.75	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9cd…17acbacked Yes	1c	2,500$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes	29c	2,395$694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693.94	210	34.8%73 W · 137 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	5c	2,279$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	7c	2,240$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.1	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	18c	2,231$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.32	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa4…9a1cbacked Yes	10c	2,226$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.36	95	8.4%8 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x918a…aa22backed Yes	2c	2,215$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.2	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	6c	2,209$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.84	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	10c	2,200$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.07	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes	14c	2,160$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.38	62	22.6%14 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49de…5d47backed Yes	12c	2,116$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.07	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa1…5aa4backed Yes	12c	2,059$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.42	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2959…bdf1backed Yes	13c	2,028$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.71	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	9c	2,000$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.26	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ed…deebbacked Yes	10c	1,998$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.18	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	+197.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked No	76c	1,976$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.64	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9efe…68cabacked Yes	26c	1,966$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.85	56	25%14 W · 42 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes	28c	1,966$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	177	28.2%50 W · 127 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	14c	1,954$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	12c	1,941$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.07	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f52…3785backed Yes	28c	1,923$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	76	18.4%14 W · 62 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event