TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Bucks, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,495,404

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,495,404 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Jazz31c161,290$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,290.0843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bucks69c124,016$85,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,570.872,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Bucks68c83,726$56,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,933.8211955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Jazz32c78,557$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,556.5736549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Bucks0c70,048$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3464517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bucks16c49,995$7,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,866.221,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Bucks9c40,298$3,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,615.211,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Bucks67c39,301$26,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,468.1432540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Jazz32c38,320$12,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,965.4620744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz43c34,260$14,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,610.275,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Bucks67c29,913$20,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,049.5234851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Bucks0c25,491$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.237211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Bucks0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Bucks33c24,008$7,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,845.0877348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Jazz56c23,091$12,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,093.912,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Bucks68c20,000$13,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,60045850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6598…a399backed Jazz33c20,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,400366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Bucks67c19,039$12,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,756.329055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Bucks67c17,651$11,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,885.911,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x949f…527bbacked Bucks67c17,000$11,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,390250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb58e…d570backed Bucks69c16,586$11,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,444.351266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bucks68c14,207$9,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,598.872,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks8c13,685$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.771,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Bucks70c12,793$8,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,9558748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz31c12,778$3,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,780.054,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Bucks70c12,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4008939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Jazz33c11,297$3,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,568.996651.5%34 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks69c11,101$7,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,632.94,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Jazz33c10,172$3,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,815.1511241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Jazz32c10,050$3,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,83426353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae76…9ba9backed Bucks69c10,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,9001376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucks4c9,465$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.921,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Bucks67c9,200$6,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1648441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4870…85f7backed Jazz33c9,200$3,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,163.934445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Bucks21c9,055$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.9654443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Bucks12c8,356$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008838.6%34 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Jazz32c8,199$2,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,543.6486641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Jazz33c8,180$2,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,480.7624831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks40c7,892$3,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,138.083,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Bucks68c7,777$5,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,288.3614753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Jazz32c7,685$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,244.783729.7%11 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Jazz32c7,680$2,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,236.2443438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Jazz78c7,535$5,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.3110743%46 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks21c7,487$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.641,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Jazz33c7,450$2,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,991.444447.7%21 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Bucks67c7,179$4,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,812.231,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Jazz33c6,732$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,532.7241832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Jazz33c6,657$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,479.9965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Bucks22c6,654$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.861,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks10c6,476$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.714,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bucks23c6,011$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.542,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz39c6,000$2,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,67048845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e6…939cbacked Bucks0c5,950$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks1c5,783$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.831,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Jazz33c5,750$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,846.041,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz29c5,500$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,879.981,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks67c5,423$3,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,636.312,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Bucks13c5,257$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.7465349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Bucks69c5,000$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,45025947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Jazz30c5,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5001,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c6…3637backed Jazz31c5,000$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,449.991631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed Jazz33c5,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.945658.9%33 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+21.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Jazz31c5,000$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,449.948944.9%40 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks68c4,917$3,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,343.511,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Bucks7c4,786$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.2736023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa26f…5c87backed Jazz34c4,600$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0361100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8413…a60abacked Jazz35c4,426$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,876.9785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+84.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks4c4,363$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce8b…6bc7backed Bucks69c4,355$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,004.977864.1%50 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Bucks69c4,348$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00016261.7%100 W · 62 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…e00dbacked Bucks67c4,266$2,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.351136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz32c4,180$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,842.553,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x421e…81bcbacked Bucks68c4,100$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7886139.3%24 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Jazz32c4,048$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,772.7561336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Bucks66c4,036$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.6735547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Jazz32c4,027$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,723.2748944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz30c4,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb8b…95cbbacked Jazz32c4,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,719.991346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a8e…3f73backed Jazz35c3,996$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,597.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+83.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x501e…2ecdbacked Jazz35c3,967$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.55977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+65.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Jazz33c3,552$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.125543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Jazz33c3,321$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.238148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd710…cf6fbacked Bucks31c3,256$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003933.3%13 W · 26 L-6.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf52a…18a3backed Bucks67c3,202$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Bucks32c3,126$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Jazz36c3,068$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.471,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz31c3,050$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks0c3,050$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.958820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1f…a875backed Bucks67c3,048$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed Bucks69c3,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07011358.4%66 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Bucks68c3,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe73d…b3dfbacked Bucks67c3,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0480…0a91backed Jazz33c2,981$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.035450%27 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Jazz32c2,850$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,93837755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Bucks72c2,795$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00024151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf744…13efbacked Bucks67c2,700$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8091172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c77…8ab1backed Jazz33c2,700$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+74.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7525…0ec1backed Bucks12c2,668$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101625%4 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Bucks67c2,650$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.520349.8%101 W · 102 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Bucks34c2,596$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.227948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.