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NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,446
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,446 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over48c25,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Under52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.9812639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under52c11,000$5,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,28058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over48c10,417$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over46c10,246$4,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,662.7154539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.9877348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500.211,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c6,715$3,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,272.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Over48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00011443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32c3…f531backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09d0…743dbacked Under50c4,998$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4991070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa4d…22abbacked Over50c4,352$2,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Over48c4,304$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,06617344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Under51c3,900$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9115648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c3,398$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.84,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over28c3,279$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.622,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6a7…30ecbacked Under50c3,037$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf47e…5b3cbacked Under50c3,030$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9914245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1884…d6bbbacked Over50c2,998$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf805…206cbacked Under50c2,991$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee93…e757backed Over50c2,979$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f59…1f67backed Over50c2,948$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83fc…2d94backed Over50c2,946$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc31…494ebacked Over50c2,929$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5741…af6ebacked Under50c2,919$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4564…dd40backed Over50c2,867$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0851…3055backed Under50c2,867$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa21c…b30ebacked Over50c2,831$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87b3…9cb9backed Under50c2,817$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c33…46f6backed Under50c2,808$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x660b…a853backed Over50c2,766$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc164…1caabacked Over50c2,731$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb593…4abdbacked Over50c2,723$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8963…6ed4backed Under50c2,723$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under52c2,721$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.9621446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ec…0ce1backed Over50c2,716$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd022…fcc8backed Over50c2,712$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f6…6a83backed Under50c2,704$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f27…9f70backed Under50c2,699$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefa7…86dcbacked Under50c2,692$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510c…2022backed Under50c2,684$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3422100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x267c…668bbacked Under50c2,672$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96a0…c28ebacked Under50c2,604$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0c5…bd57backed Over50c2,552$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba2a…8f5cbacked Over50c2,543$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over48c2,289$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.722,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0764944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8912…110dbacked Under50c1,877$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.54100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under54c1,830$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.654,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01a…81b9backed Under50c1,787$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c1,513$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.763,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6904,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.991,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under55c1,309$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.256,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x353e…9db2backed Over47c1,265$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.555738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under53c1,075$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.2526553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Over47c1,067$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.4918345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under79c1,059$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5965872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over45c1,011$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.233,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under71c990.39$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.542,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under52c961.52$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5324050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over47c879.52$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.3738750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over48c854.17$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4108450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c799.97$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.9884342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Under51c792.15$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.1518147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under67c756.83$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.1426337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29bf…a448backed Under50c688$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over22c669.1$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.218438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29432450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c443.07$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.578,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Under52c438.35$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.3711833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Over48c438$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.2410940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under53c426.09$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.2622154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19615446.1%71 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x381a…f63dbacked Over41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over48c380.08$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.0958450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under53c338.92$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.7965349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over48c294$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1245646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over48c291.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c269.06$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.842,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7174…21febacked Over48c253.62$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+48.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under51c245.08$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0933748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c231.26$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.452,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9423…bba6backed Over48c218.88$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.061450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10024849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.318052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over49c168$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5477549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under50c162.43$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2221743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over48c161.44$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2349249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over49c148$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3734851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over48c147$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5656547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over46c146.74$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.711,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x136c…6b91backed Over46c140.81$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.771741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-19.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.621,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over15c133.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7211826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.