TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,142
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,642

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,142 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed Over49c18,198$8,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,917.1229245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7005750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c9,834$5,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,720.441,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c6,374$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,133.399,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c5,393$2,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,575.124,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa28d…d5ccbacked Over46c4,348$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-63.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under52c3,223$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.221,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bee…0ca9backed Over49c3,031$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.192454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over49c2,000$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under74c1,984$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under53c1,740$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.82,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c1,505$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.254,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over22c1,174$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.3218438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c1,140$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.383,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over30c1,005$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.692,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c897$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.596,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over27c826.69$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.662,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36884342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c675$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.231,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over4c622.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.914438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Over50c606$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30317344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over51c573.33$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3358450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under78c538.57$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.441,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c536.62$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.813,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under76c400.44$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under52c380.94$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.8592058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under53c345.94$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Over50c325.99$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16316249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over48c322.12$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.3566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c267.95$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.981,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under72c239.77$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.132952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed Over25c228.55$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.444645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10623435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83fe…23d9backed Over52c191.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.835036%18 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x49a1…41cbbacked Under74c185.4$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.47977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under47c165.47$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.787453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c161.48$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.74,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over54c157.41$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8523657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over48c145.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7015543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over44c118.4$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2451438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under52c118$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6446255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over31c108.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.583,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over50c108.21$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1149249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c107.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.885,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Over28c106.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3483158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08e0…bfdfbacked Over50c106$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533641.7%15 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Over50c104.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.113554.1%73 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over46c100.14$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.061,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb68…7f81backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+104.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cc…3132backed Over48c89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7211229.5%33 W · 79 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Over30c81.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.698937.1%33 W · 56 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over29c74.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.411,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under48c73.6$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2744747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Under53c73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3115742.7%67 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e07…a2efbacked Under50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ef…39b6backed Under72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.443348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over49c66.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4995047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Over52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.254951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0813447%63 W · 71 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over47c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245850%29 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2495260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c49.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.832,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Under49c48.34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8422336.8%82 W · 141 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6727050%135 W · 135 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.830256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b5c…ab22backed Under53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.86053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb800…6663backed Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.08825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bfc…8eb3backed Over50c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6113947.5%66 W · 73 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7307…7d23backed Under53c37.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8211661.2%71 W · 45 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cdf…31e7backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7414054.3%76 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under47c34.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.317250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1911…ebf8backed Under48c28.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.63966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf42f…231ebacked Over53c27.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Under53c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6940048.3%193 W · 207 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under46c25.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7623651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over48c24.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.931,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c24.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.471,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under53c24.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4175…87a0backed Over44c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.569652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over52c21.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0252552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.445544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under79c19.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.160250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under71c19.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.614359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.