NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8149dc564763fe64b0cac25af9e5df81ca67c53e4ac2ec670fbe7ce264fc6ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Bucks, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $276,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,447 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz | 48c | 142,175$68,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,930.99 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Bucks | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,999.97 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Bucks | 52c | 59,456$30,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,916.9 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Bucks | 52c | 41,725$21,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,579.84 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 48c | 15,436$7,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,002.97 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz | 48c | 15,031$7,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,765.59 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.96 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Jazz | 48c | 8,637$4,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,491.5 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks | 51c | 6,863$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.1 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz | 48c | 6,608$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,422.69 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…0ca9backed Jazz | 49c | 6,093$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.43 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 49c | 5,982$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz | 48c | 5,713$2,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.7 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucks | 52c | 4,445$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.31 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz | 49c | 4,220$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.2 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Jazz | 50c | 4,002$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.6 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Jazz | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Bucks | 51c | 3,750$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.58 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Jazz | 49c | 3,750$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.58 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Bucks | 50c | 3,720$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.98 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Jazz | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Jazz | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Jazz | 48c | 2,292$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.67 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Jazz | 50c | 2,010$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Jazz | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Bucks | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bucks | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jazz | 48c | 1,809$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.72 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz | 48c | 1,392$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.61 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…7e7fbacked Jazz | 48c | 1,128$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.67 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz | 48c | 1,100$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.43 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Bucks | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Jazz | 49c | 1,070$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.7 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Jazz | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Jazz | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Bucks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Jazz | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Jazz | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Jazz | 48c | 746.27$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.06 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Jazz | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Bucks | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Bucks | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Jazz | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Bucks | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Jazz | 48c | 562.5$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Bucks | 49c | 517.3$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.48 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Bucks | 51c | 495.46$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.23 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bucks | 49c | 476.05$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.12 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Bucks | 52c | 461.08$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Bucks | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Bucks | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Bucks | 52c | 342$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Bucks | 50c | 340$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Bucks | 53c | 298.32$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.11 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Jazz | 50c | 283.54$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.84 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Jazz | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Bucks | 52c | 222.25$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Jazz | 49c | 207$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Bucks | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Bucks | 52c | 196$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bucks | 50c | 160.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Jazz | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Jazz | 51c | 157.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.81 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Jazz | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jazz | 48c | 152.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Bucks | 52c | 150.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Bucks | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Jazz | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Jazz | 51c | 127.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Jazz | 49c | 124$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Jazz | 49c | 121.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Bucks | 52c | 111.12$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde2…3fcfbacked Jazz | 49c | 109.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce3a…2477backed Jazz | 49c | 106$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Jazz | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Bucks | 52c | 103.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Jazz | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Bucks | 48c | 98.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Jazz | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Bucks | 52c | 88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 280 | 58.2%163 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55d…001ebacked Jazz | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Jazz | 50c | 67.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…83a0backed Jazz | 50c | 59.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Jazz | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed Bucks | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Jazz | 49c | 52.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Jazz | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Jazz | 49c | 50.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…51fdbacked Bucks | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…cf1dbacked Bucks | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Jazz | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Bucks | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…a600backed Bucks | 53c | 43.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972e…f602backed Jazz | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Jazz | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Jazz | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Jazz | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Jazz | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Jazz | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Jazz won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Bucks vs. JazzJazz won
- Bucks vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Bucks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5Under won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Kyle Filipowski: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Bucks (-6.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.