NBA · resolved market
Myles Turner: Points O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85c664b26f8991a5664f8fab6d0a581a291e2ecf44373aea47089350602f2616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,277 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 71c | 627.55$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.49 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86af…c6e0backed Yes | 29c | 352.74$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb30e…7c7abacked Yes | 38c | 262.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Yes | 29c | 193$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 42c | 163.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 147.48$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Yes | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…a88ebacked Yes | 29c | 103.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf153…0504backed Yes | 32c | 102.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…29aebacked Yes | 27c | 100.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…798abacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed No | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 30c | 95.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 192 | 45.3%87 W · 105 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 72c | 93.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked No | 68c | 85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 270 | 74.1%200 W · 70 L | +30.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…d5cdbacked No | 60c | 67.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Yes | 46c | 62.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79b4…c59fbacked No | 54c | 62.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…b58bbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…c7dabacked Yes | 35c | 46.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…bc1bbacked No | 65c | 30.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 76c | 30.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 328 | 66.5%218 W · 110 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 71c | 29.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 73c | 23.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…96eabacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed No | 67c | 17.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 11.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Jazz won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Bucks vs. JazzJazz won
- Bucks vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Bucks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5Under won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Kyle Filipowski: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Bucks (-5.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Bucks (-6.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.