TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x136c…6b91

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-19.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$165.51
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.93
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$76.13
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.55
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.72
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.41
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.22
Bucks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.77
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$191.64
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$79.97
Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.85
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.97
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.97
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$49.05
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.53
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.08
Wichita State Shockers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.81
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$69.73
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$38.44
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$44.93
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.72
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.94
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$58.44
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.35
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.49
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.97
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$24.13
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-42.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.34
Miami Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Miami Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+234.4%+$327.85
Miami Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Learner Tienbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+169.6%+$80
Miami Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$13.4
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.35
Miami Open: Lilli Tagger vs Ella Seidelbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.22
Miami Open: Moise Kouame vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.12
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.13
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$16.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$554.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sam Patterson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.