NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd98d2150200c97ba4e68dd32756f4cffd4951d21ff17e1c72bdcea4eceff8d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,874 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 47c | 216,842$101,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,344.36 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 53c | 90,768$48,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,661.05 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 87,792$46,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,926.81 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Under | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 54c | 8,028$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.98 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 46c | 7,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 45c | 6,758$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041.18 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 56c | 5,851$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.33 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 5,316$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.39 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 1,180$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.49 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 54c | 1,068$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.05 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 1,018$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.09 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 71c | 916$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.64 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 56c | 789$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.16 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 635.24$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.34 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Under | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 55c | 592$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 54c | 563.45$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.29 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Under | 55c | 505$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.25 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 45c | 499.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Over | 47c | 425.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 424.95$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.48 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 29c | 402.4$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.31 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Under | 57c | 377.19$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.19 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Under | 58c | 336.38$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.38 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Under | 56c | 255$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3218…a011backed Under | 56c | 255$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 44c | 233.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 194$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 40c | 151.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 68c | 151$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 36c | 141.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f50…9ecfbacked Under | 54c | 138.91$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…2fd6backed Under | 56c | 129$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -8.9wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 119.83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 42c | 115.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 46c | 112$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 46c | 107.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 57c | 103.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…9ea3backed Over | 45c | 103.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Over | 32c | 91.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 45c | 84.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 64c | 84.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 65c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 46c | 74.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Under | 30c | 73.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 54c | 56.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x136c…6b91backed Over | 32c | 55.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 55c | 50.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 44c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed Under | 56c | 46.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 57c | 39.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 53c | 31.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 55c | 26.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…1472backed Over | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…69d6backed Under | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 55c | 24.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 54c | 23.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Over | 66c | 19.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. WildBlackhawks won
- Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.