TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,069

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,069 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Over55c25,027$13,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,873.135050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under44c12,500$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0003751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under43c11,719$5,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,640.781,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under45c9,882$4,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,441.751550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over57c6,000$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,42033151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over57c5,740$3,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,278.9840356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under45c5,495$2,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,023.2436748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.991952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c4,416$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,332.691,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Under43c3,369$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.1964242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under44c2,977$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.2785250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over57c2,590$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.427048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over50c2,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9906538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over56c1,877$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.1284953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under45c1,778$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.721,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over56c1,218$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.282646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5708752.9%46 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under50c926.9$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.4544551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under44c896.5$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.0414553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under56c894.32$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.811,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c753.84$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.3289355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c663.56$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.072,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Over44c552$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.88742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under44c550$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30817247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bc…1b77backed Over58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012258.2%71 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over57c498.71$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.262055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c481.7$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.872,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under44c431.82$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.821,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over51c399.98$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6138445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over56c360.36$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.131553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over57c350$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.524847.6%118 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over57c338.5$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9512653.2%67 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under44c320$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.218344.8%82 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over56c311.32$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9328549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under44c296.75$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.468138.3%31 W · 50 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over57c290$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.320354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under44c281.82$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8233950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under52c278.17$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.323,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c263.9$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.922,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1107550.7%38 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over55c243.53$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9491653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over56c236.19$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.333339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over32c233.3$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.61,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over45c220.76$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.347838.5%30 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under56c217.91$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9930348.8%148 W · 155 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under44c214.5$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1211250%56 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over57c205.8$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2929448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over58c204$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.329545.3%43 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over56c199.36$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.641,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over57c174.17$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.073240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-62.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under44c160$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.625337.9%96 W · 157 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over56c157.6$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5847753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Over57c154$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.721747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over57c152$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6414853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Under44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849944.4%44 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under42c124.41$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.751,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfead…d206backed Under44c123.88$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd815…1cdebacked Under45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.112934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over57c110.56$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0214045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under44c109.14$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1222352.9%118 W · 105 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under74c107.35$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3128340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Over57c105.04$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.879251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over55c104$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under44c103.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2382353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5759950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Under43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x381a…f63dbacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over42c98.37$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1365721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under52c96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.081,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4473…c0c2backed Over58c94.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.731010%1 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.40per pick50cpaid-78.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Under44c90$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.45352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Over56c89.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6411350.4%57 W · 56 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over57c88.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.342751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.812844.5%57 W · 71 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.814037.9%53 W · 87 L-13.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Over56c75.75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.422437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Over46c71.43$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.992240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under44c68.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6153849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdca…3e35backed Under44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.18650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under45c67.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.355152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over56c64.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1919651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Over57c64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.166749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under61c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.71,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Over56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.85959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under45c55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2533647.9%161 W · 175 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked Over19c55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.182123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-44.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8035…cfeabacked Over57c53.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41c0…9d61backed Over57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over58c51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5886852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a0d…c27bbacked Under45c44.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.731258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over56c42.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5642948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under42c38.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2310846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over57c37.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.235553%188 W · 167 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5090…ccb2backed Over58c36.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.371827.8%5 W · 13 L-6.3wins-0.35per pick63cpaid-60.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Over56c36.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.34946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over57c34.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6416549.7%82 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Over57c32.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.592642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.