NHL · resolved market
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x800381bf11892ed55c33dac56823e6784399746b4ab531d1e20d9508125f43ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Wild, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,047 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blackhawks | 58c | 7,375$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.53 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wild | 43c | 5,477$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.43 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wild | 42c | 2,088$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 44c | 2,021$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.62 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Blackhawks | 57c | 1,746$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.61 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Blackhawks | 56c | 1,732$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.6 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blackhawks | 56c | 1,368$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.72 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e8…2525backed Wild | 47c | 1,340$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Blackhawks | 57c | 1,314$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.02 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…abdfbacked Blackhawks | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wild | 43c | 947.48$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.44 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blackhawks | 55c | 802.34$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.05 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Blackhawks | 55c | 724.51$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.86 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Wild | 45c | 687$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.15 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Blackhawks | 59c | 644.07$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.07 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Blackhawks | 69c | 530.77$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.46 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Blackhawks | 55c | 453.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.29 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Wild | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Wild | 45c | 393.33$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Wild | 41c | 365.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.69 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wild | 45c | 270.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wild | 41c | 267.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Blackhawks | 75c | 265.62$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wild | 44c | 256$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Wild | 43c | 231.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Wild | 43c | 231.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Wild | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Wild | 45c | 179$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…1b06backed Blackhawks | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Blackhawks | 56c | 165.57$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wild | 43c | 150.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wild | 44c | 135$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Wild | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks | 56c | 121.36$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Wild | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Blackhawks | 57c | 69.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wild | 20c | 61.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Blackhawks | 65c | 55.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks | 64c | 41.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Wild | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wild | 42c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Blackhawks | 57c | 35.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Wild | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Wild | 45c | 23.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Wild | 44c | 23.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Blackhawks | 55c | 21.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Blackhawks | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Blackhawks | 56c | 17.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)this page
- Blackhawks vs. WildBlackhawks won
- Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.