NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6f4f574ad0d7d0e0b05b9a05e7c88b7f290e65c449421ae9d98fb9c30c07e37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,892 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Under | 77c | 541.84$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.61 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc793…4a57backed Over | 26c | 389$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…6df3backed Over | 26c | 322$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb67a…2152backed Over | 26c | 293$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…ef28backed Under | 74c | 235$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…a728backed Under | 74c | 229$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 23c | 224$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd4…3135backed Under | 74c | 213$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 23c | 182.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6f…4102backed Under | 74c | 179$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…edb5backed Under | 74c | 148$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…4f91backed Over | 28c | 106.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 24c | 73.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Under | 72c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…dbffbacked Over | 27c | 56.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 72c | 50.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a40…281ebacked Under | 78c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 7.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. WildBlackhawks won
- Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.