NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x790588bf04c770d53548281ea277893083a21cd4af3a3e5921738b83c2f73afb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Islanders, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $988,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $993,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $988,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 513 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Islanders | 47c | 306,658$145,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,659.53 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Senators | 54c | 166,256$89,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,140.22 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Islanders | 47c | 139,600$65,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,281.99 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Senators | 55c | 122,544$67,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,144.88 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Islanders | 46c | 103,211$47,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,477.2 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Senators | 53c | 100,000$52,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,400 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Senators | 53c | 95,550$50,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,223.5 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Islanders | 45c | 75,000$33,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,749.94 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Islanders | 45c | 60,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,000 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Senators | 53c | 31,738$16,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,973.62 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Islanders | 45c | 23,164$10,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,535.85 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Senators | 53c | 21,920$11,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,238.97 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Islanders | 44c | 21,160$9,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,310.44 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Senators | 52c | 18,888$9,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,066.24 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…5f4bbacked Senators | 54c | 14,300$7,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,578 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Senators | 54c | 12,667$6,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,826.82 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Senators | 55c | 11,099$6,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,994.55 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Islanders | 48c | 10,760$5,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,175.73 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Senators | 53c | 10,750$5,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,052.48 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Senators | 54c | 10,520$5,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,839.16 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Islanders | 48c | 10,232$4,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,911.41 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senators | 55c | 9,540$5,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340.61 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Senators | 53c | 9,209$4,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.17 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Senators | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Senators | 35c | 8,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Senators | 54c | 7,594$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.09 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Senators | 53c | 7,142$3,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.78 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Senators | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Senators | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Islanders | 47c | 5,891$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Islanders | 48c | 5,798$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Islanders | 46c | 5,750$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.04 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Senators | 54c | 5,496$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.16 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Islanders | 48c | 5,297$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.89 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Islanders | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Senators | 54c | 4,729$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.61 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Senators | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.45 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Islanders | 46c | 4,448$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.85 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Senators | 55c | 4,286$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.28 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Senators | 54c | 4,200$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.17 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Senators | 56c | 4,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Senators | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.95 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Senators | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.08 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Senators | 54c | 3,600$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.79 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Senators | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.51 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Islanders | 46c | 3,267$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.68 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 49c | 3,213$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.96 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Senators | 53c | 3,073$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.18 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Senators | 50c | 2,861$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.77 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Islanders | 47c | 2,787$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Senators | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Senators | 52c | 2,775$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.04 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Senators | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Islanders | 47c | 2,460$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Senators | 53c | 2,387$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.77 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Senators | 52c | 2,345$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.6 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Islanders | 51c | 2,339$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.34 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Senators | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.9 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Islanders | 47c | 2,130$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.1 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Senators | 53c | 2,088$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.52 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Senators | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Senators | 53c | 1,868$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.85 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Senators | 52c | 1,676$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.54 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Senators | 52c | 1,600$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Senators | 55c | 1,560$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Senators | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.07 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Senators | 53c | 1,490$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.3 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Senators | 51c | 1,401$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.78 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Senators | 53c | 1,209$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.11 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 47c | 1,163$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.8 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Senators | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Islanders | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Senators | 52c | 1,073$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.9 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Senators | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.3 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Islanders | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Senators | 53c | 999.09$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.41 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Senators | 54c | 998.57$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.34 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Senators | 54c | 984.3$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.18 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Islanders | 47c | 940$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.8 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Senators | 54c | 926.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.55 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Senators | 34c | 873.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.55 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Senators | 51c | 820$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.8 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3c…28a2backed Senators | 54c | 810.5$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.89 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Islanders | 49c | 800$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.73 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Senators | 56c | 800$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.68 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Islanders | 46c | 791.77$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.21 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Islanders | 47c | 771.45$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.07 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Islanders | 47c | 744.68$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Senators | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Islanders | 46c | 716.96$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.8 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Islanders | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Senators | 54c | 667.07$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.85 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Islanders | 42c | 653.53$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.51 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…adafbacked Islanders | 46c | 643.48$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Islanders | 47c | 640$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Islanders | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Islanders | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Senators | 53c | 618$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.25 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Senators | 52c | 604.85$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.82 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Senatorsthis page
- Islanders vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.