NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeec318714566495b1155f9b657b16b44bbfa26f34294bc6ba86b6d61da467d71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,360 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Under | 48c | 178,304$85,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,911.05 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 52c | 93,069$48,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,395.68 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 22,200$11,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,544 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 52c | 18,888$9,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,821.76 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 53c | 12,935$6,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,798.02 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 8,849$4,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620.91 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 53c | 3,816$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.48 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 2,857$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.73 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 56c | 2,339$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 78c | 1,940$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.79 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 46c | 1,684$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.32 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 1,200$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 52c | 1,138$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.76 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 27c | 996.33$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.13 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 54c | 833.33$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +195.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 55c | 500$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.96 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 496.92$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.4 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Over | 49c | 468.98$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.38 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 463.64$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.64 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Over | 10c | 305$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 270.21$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.83 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…09c1backed Over | 53c | 221$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.13 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 55c | 154.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 53c | 149.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 18c | 138.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 53c | 127$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 56c | 105$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 48c | 93.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde2…3fcfbacked Over | 53c | 63.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 56c | 61.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 35c | 57.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 32c | 52.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 52c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…ccb2backed Over | 54c | 39.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -6.3wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 32c | 36.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 45c | 32.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 65c | 31.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f50…9ecfbacked Over | 53c | 31.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…360ebacked Over | 53c | 27.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 23.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Under | 78c | 22.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 77c | 13.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Senators: O/U 5.5this page
- Islanders vs. SenatorsSenators won
- Islanders vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.