TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Shevchenko

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alexander Shevchenkoof Matteo Arnaldi, Alexander Shevchenko
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,508 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde9f…d43cbacked Matteo Arnaldi50c15,161$7,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,534.636,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Alexander Shevchenko78c10,299$8,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295.7637741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Matteo Arnaldi25c7,208$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.172,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Matteo Arnaldi49c6,855$3,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,364.411,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Matteo Arnaldi30c6,714$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Alexander Shevchenko52c6,460$3,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,072.392,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alexander Shevchenko56c5,949$3,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,611.98,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe548…a51abacked Alexander Shevchenko52c5,521$2,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,631.794129.3%12 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Matteo Arnaldi26c5,356$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.9219835.4%70 W · 128 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Matteo Arnaldi20c5,076$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.963145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Matteo Arnaldi1c4,884$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.942,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Matteo Arnaldi46c4,629$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.4576140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Matteo Arnaldi6c3,365$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.4445147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3846…9742backed Alexander Shevchenko54c3,137$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.923366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Alexander Shevchenko48c2,964$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.7631332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Matteo Arnaldi52c2,901$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50820847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Alexander Shevchenko49c2,835$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.561,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Matteo Arnaldi13c2,512$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.3625957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alexander Shevchenko72c2,410$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.1811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alexander Shevchenko50c2,340$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.87,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Matteo Arnaldi29c2,087$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60028726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Alexander Shevchenko48c2,072$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.8420336%73 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Alexander Shevchenko52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Alexander Shevchenko52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9793055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Matteo Arnaldi51c1,990$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.531,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc14f…7d8dbacked Matteo Arnaldi52c1,900$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.991866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Matteo Arnaldi53c1,892$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alexander Shevchenko70c1,821$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.746,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Alexander Shevchenko53c1,637$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.3243051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Alexander Shevchenko71c1,594$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.922,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Matteo Arnaldi21c1,573$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.1613351.9%69 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Matteo Arnaldi62c1,480$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.197037.1%26 W · 44 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Alexander Shevchenko48c1,453$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.7112354.5%67 W · 56 L+13.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+43.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Matteo Arnaldi50c1,417$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.7119241.1%79 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Matteo Arnaldi10c1,225$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.084,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Alexander Shevchenko42c1,074$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.133852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe779…335ebacked Matteo Arnaldi51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed Alexander Shevchenko49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51010341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f2…a822backed Matteo Arnaldi52c999.98$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9911158.6%65 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Alexander Shevchenko54c984$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.648555.3%47 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Matteo Arnaldi50c927.81$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.446553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Matteo Arnaldi6c894.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015826.6%42 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Matteo Arnaldi46c870$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.23154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Alexander Shevchenko54c833$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.1828038.2%107 W · 173 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Matteo Arnaldi57c826.13$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.0918548.6%90 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Alexander Shevchenko68c789.2$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.549,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Matteo Arnaldi51c721.97$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.8914225.4%36 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d63…8b8cbacked Alexander Shevchenko49c714.29$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.293154.8%17 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+34.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Alexander Shevchenko54c680.8$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.8219052.1%99 W · 91 L-12.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Matteo Arnaldi43c680.5$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.811,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Alexander Shevchenko65c676.98$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.6422949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Matteo Arnaldi3c654.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.682550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ad…915dbacked Matteo Arnaldi47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003767.6%25 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb72…e339backed Alexander Shevchenko53c637$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Alexander Shevchenko49c625.34$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.5530744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Alexander Shevchenko54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5626853.7%144 W · 124 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa883…32bebacked Alexander Shevchenko54c529$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.34560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+72.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Alexander Shevchenko50c502.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.9526254.6%143 W · 119 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Matteo Arnaldi50c494.22$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.091,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Matteo Arnaldi32c465.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8423429.1%68 W · 166 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71f9…16fbbacked Alexander Shevchenko51c460.83$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.818855.7%49 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36fe…593dbacked Matteo Arnaldi47c460$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb920…5ef1backed Alexander Shevchenko54c460$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0ea…e127backed Matteo Arnaldi47c450$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdad6…277abacked Alexander Shevchenko54c450$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Alexander Shevchenko55c449.09$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.0927063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Alexander Shevchenko49c435$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.61,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Alexander Shevchenko71c422.46$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.052,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Alexander Shevchenko49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1621758.1%126 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0129…e3c9backed Matteo Arnaldi56c400.53$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.99242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Matteo Arnaldi50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f67…e097backed Matteo Arnaldi47c390$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Matteo Arnaldi28c376$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7934744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Alexander Shevchenko48c361$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.937,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alexander Shevchenko47c360.57$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.183,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Matteo Arnaldi28c351.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Matteo Arnaldi66c350$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Matteo Arnaldi29c339.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Matteo Arnaldi45c337.78$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Matteo Arnaldi22c336.79$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7354634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc282…3c73backed Matteo Arnaldi47c333$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Alexander Shevchenko49c330.9$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.273458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Matteo Arnaldi53c307$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6296755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Alexander Shevchenko49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.121,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f41…5c9fbacked Matteo Arnaldi43c299.98$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9915848.7%77 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Matteo Arnaldi47c299.96$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9829636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Alexander Shevchenko54c290$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.41,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Matteo Arnaldi27c280$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7699044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Matteo Arnaldi51c274.2$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3827543.3%119 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Alexander Shevchenko75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.674555.6%25 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69d2…5ee2backed Alexander Shevchenko42c265.81$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+137.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Alexander Shevchenko68c257.16$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6266139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Alexander Shevchenko51c254.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.943448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Alexander Shevchenko45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2215548.4%75 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Matteo Arnaldi47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028541.1%117 W · 168 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Alexander Shevchenko48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.225546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Matteo Arnaldi43c204.14$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7834148.1%164 W · 177 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Alexander Shevchenko49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0821149.8%105 W · 106 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21b8…e260backed Matteo Arnaldi44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885933.9%20 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Matteo Arnaldi21c200$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.923865.5%156 W · 82 L+31.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.